ISM Manufacturing Index Indicates Potential for Bitcoin Bull Market to Continue Through Late 2025
Bitcoin and ISM Manufacturing PMI Correlation: The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index has historically aligned with Bitcoin's market cycle peaks, suggesting the current bull run may extend longer than usual. Analysts indicate that a sustained PMI above 50 could correlate with stronger Bitcoin performance.
Extended Cycle Timeline for Bitcoin: Predictions now suggest Bitcoin's peak valuations may occur between September 2025 and March 2026, allowing for gradual capital accumulation and reducing risks associated with shorter market cycles. Long-term holders show significant room for appreciation before reaching overvaluation.
Impact of Manufacturing Weakness on Bitcoin: Persistent weakness in manufacturing activity highlights structural challenges in the US economy, with the ISM report indicating that PMI contraction does not necessarily predict a recession. This ongoing contraction may lead to prolonged accommodative monetary policy, benefiting Bitcoin's price.
Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: Several US states are planning to allocate public funds for Bitcoin purchases, reflecting growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin as a treasury asset. This trend aligns with Bitcoin's increasing correlation with the S&P 500, indicating its shift towards being a macro-sensitive investment.
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Technical Analysis for BTC
Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 5 technical signals, shows that 2 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 36329.999 | 48164.999 | 61065.749 | 72900.749 | 85801.499 | 97636.499 | 110537.249 |
| Fibonacci | 48164.999 | 57614.056 | 63451.693 | 72900.749 | 82349.806 | 88187.443 | 97636.499 |
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