War crypto

Screening Filters

1. Market Cap ≥ 300,000,000

   • Purpose: Focus on larger, established cryptocurrencies.
   • Rationale:
     When analyzing the impact of war (or any major geopolitical shock) on the crypto market, you want coins that actually represent the market, not tiny speculative tokens. Large‑cap coins:
     • Are more widely held and traded globally, so they reflect broad investor sentiment to war headlines.
     • Tend to move with macro risk-on/risk-off flows (e.g., flight to quality, hedge vs. fiat risk), which is exactly what you’re trying to understand.

2. 24h Turnover ≥ 20,000,000

   • Purpose: Ensure sufficient liquidity and active trading.
   • Rationale:
     To see how war affects crypto prices in real time, you need assets where:
     • News is quickly priced in (high trading volume → efficient price discovery).
     • Price moves are meaningful, not just a few trades causing big spikes.
       This filter removes illiquid coins whose price jumps may be random or easily manipulated, making them poor indicators of war-related market reactions.

3. RSI Category: “Moderate”

   • Purpose: Avoid assets that are extremely overbought or oversold on technicals.
   • Rationale:
     If a coin is already:
     • Overbought (RSI very high), it might be due for a pullback regardless of war.
     • Oversold (RSI very low), it might bounce simply on mean reversion.
       Using “moderate” RSI helps you focus on coins where subsequent moves are more likely linked to new macro/geopolitical information (like war developments), not just short‑term technical imbalances.

4. 1‑Month Price Change ≥ -5%

   • Purpose: Filter out assets already in a strong, recent downtrend.
   • Rationale:
     If a crypto is already collapsing (e.g., -30% in a month), its price behavior during war might be driven by:
     • Project-specific problems (hacks, regulatory issues, loss of confidence), not macro war risk.
     • Ongoing structural selling pressure.
       By requiring at least not worse than -5% over the last month, you keep assets whose baseline trend was relatively stable, making it easier to isolate the incremental impact of war-related news.

5. 24h Volatility ≤ 25

   • Purpose: Focus on relatively more stable cryptocurrencies in the short term.
   • Rationale:
     Hyper‑volatile tokens swing wildly on any small event, which can:
     • Obscure the specific effect of geopolitical shocks.
     • Make it hard to distinguish war-driven moves from normal noise.
       Capping volatility biases the sample toward more “blue-chip” or at least more orderly-trading cryptos where changes in volatility/returns during war can be interpreted more cleanly.

Why Results Match the User’s Question

• You are asking about the impact of war on the cryptocurrency market. To study or illustrate that, it’s important to look at representative, liquid, and relatively stable cryptos that move with global macro sentiment.
• These filters:
  • Exclude tiny, illiquid, and extremely speculative coins that don’t reliably reflect broader market reaction to war.
  • Focus the universe on major, actively traded assets whose price and volatility patterns are more clearly linked to risk sentiment, capital flows, and “safe haven vs. risk asset” behavior that wars typically influence.
  • Reduce technical and idiosyncratic noise (extreme RSI, heavy prior downtrends, ultra‑high volatility), so that any patterns you observe around war events are more likely to be war-related rather than random or project‑specific.