Will AMC Stock Go Up in the Long-term?

Jason Bourne Updated: 2024-05-16

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Illustration by Intellectia.AI

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(AMC), known widely for its AMC Theatres, has been a topic of hot discussion among investors, especially following the unprecedented market activity during the 2021 meme stock phenomenon. It has experienced a significant surge recently, soars 121% in 24 Hours. The question on many investors' minds is whether AMC stock is a viable long-term investment. This article delves into the factors that could influence AMC's stock price in the future, considering industry trends, the company's financial health, and broader economic indicators.

AMC's Recent Rally: A Box Office Hit on Wall Street

Shares in AMC Theatres experienced an impressive 80 percent surge on Monday, sparked by the return of meme stock icon Roaring Kitty to the online scene. AMC Entertainment Holdings, headed by CEO Adam Aron, saw its stock close up $2.28 for the day, finishing at $5.19. This marked a significant recovery, considering AMC's shares had previously plummeted during the pandemic. The cinema giant had capitalized on the meme stock frenzy to raise vital funds needed to maintain operations. Let's dive into the key reasons for AMC's stock surge.

Return of Roaring Kitty

Keith Gill, also known as "Roaring Kitty," who was central to the 2021 meme stock craze, made a return to social media. His posts reignited interest in meme stocks, including AMC.

Gill's return led to a massive increase in trading activity and stock prices for meme stocks like GameStop and AMC. AMC shares jumped 78% following his posts.

Positive Market Reaction

AMC's stock saw a significant rise in trading volume and price. On May 13, 2024, AMC stock jumped 41% in morning trading and reached as high as 66% by the afternoon, hitting a two-month high.

The surge was partly driven by the broader rally in meme stocks, with GameStop also experiencing a substantial increase.

Technical Indicators

AMC's stock showed a bullish development by surging above its 10-week moving average, which is a positive technical indicator for traders.

Recent Financial Performance

Despite recent struggles, AMC reported better-than-expected financial results for the first quarter of 2024, with revenue of $951.4 million, ahead of the Street consensus estimate of $861.1 million.

The company also managed to reduce its net loss compared to previous quarters, which provided some optimism among investors.

The recent surge in AMC's stock can be attributed to the return of Roaring Kitty, which reignited interest in meme stocks, positive technical indicators, and better-than-expected financial performance in the first quarter of 2024. These factors combined to create a significant upward momentum for AMC's stock.

Will AMC Stock Continue Its Skyward Journey?

Key Points:

Short-Term Gains: Incremental increases expected in the near term.
Long-Term Growth: Forecasts suggest significant growth, with the stock potentially reaching $30.82 by 2033.
Challenges: Debt management and competition from streaming services remain key concerns.

As of May 13, 2024, AMC's stock price is at $5.23, with short-term projections suggesting a steady climb: $5.30 by May 15, $5.38 by May 16, and $5.45 by May 17. Looking further ahead, the long-term forecast is even more optimistic. By the end of 2024, AMC's stock price is expected to soar to $9.70, marking an 85% increase from its current price. The upward trajectory is anticipated to continue, reaching $12.51 by the end of 2025, $15.99 by the end of 2026, and an impressive $30.82 by 2033.

Several factors are influencing this long-term growth. Financially, AMC has demonstrated improvements in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with Q4 2023 results showing a significant reduction in losses to 54 cents per share from the previous year's $1.40 per share. Market sentiment is also shifting positively, particularly with the resurgence of influential figures like Roaring Kitty, which has injected renewed optimism into AMC's prospects.

Despite these positive indicators, AMC still faces challenges, particularly with its debt. The company has been proactive in managing its financial obligations and has raised capital through equity sales. While this has led to some dilution, it has also provided the liquidity necessary to stabilize its operations.

Analyst opinions on AMC are mixed, reflecting the complex interplay of factors affecting its future. Some analysts are bullish, citing potential market share gains and new content releases as catalysts for growth. Others remain cautious, pointing to AMC's substantial debt and the competitive pressures from streaming services. The average one-year price target for AMC hovers around $9, with more optimistic forecasts going up to $12, illustrating the varied perspectives on the company's financial health and market position.

Is AMC Stock a Good Buy?

Whether AMC stock is a good buy depends on your risk tolerance and investment strategy. AMC remains a quintessential meme stock, heavily influenced by social media trends and retail investor sentiment, often overriding fundamental financial indicators. Analyst views on AMC are split: some caution against its significant debt and potential share dilution, while others commend recent equity offerings for bolstering long-term stability. The stock's high volatility, with a beta of 1.9, signals potential for dramatic price fluctuations. Investors need to consider these factors, balancing the excitement of quick gains against the risks of volatility and financial challenges.