HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBC) FY2028Q3 Earning Prediction
HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBC) is set to release its FY2028Q3 earnings performance on 02/19 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 14.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.41 for the FY2028Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The analysis suggests a 'Beat' prediction due to cost-cutting measures, share buybacks, and stabilization of NII, despite some revenue challenges.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Revenue Growth: Mixed signals. Negative impacts include closures of Zing (compliance restructuring costs), China credit card exit, and Australia consumer banking unit sale. However, U.S. commercial banking expansion and Wealth Management growth (per BofA) could offset losses.
Cost Management: Restructuring (layoffs, division streamlining) and business exits likely reduce expenses, aligning with lower cost growth trends.
Banking NII: Prime rate cut may pressure margins, but prior NII decline was due to a one-time loss (legacy securities redemption). Stabilization is probable.
Share Buyback: $3B program supports EPS via share reduction and signals management confidence.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Options Play: Buy short-dated $55 calls (Feb 2025 expiry) to capitalize on EPS beat potential.
- Pairs Trade: Long HSBC / Short Barclays (Equal Weight-rated peer with less cost-cutting optionality).
- Hedge: Combine with put spreads (e.g., $50/$53) to mitigate downside from revenue risks.
Rationale: Cost discipline and buybacks are likely to drive an EPS beat, but elevated expectations (19.8% stock surge) limit upside unless Wealth/U.S. growth surprises.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
HSBC Transcript
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance, strategic investments, and shareholder returns. The $0.10 dividend and $3 billion share buyback are positive catalysts. Despite some uncertainties like ECL guidance revision and challenging office sector in Hong Kong, the optimistic outlook for Wealth management and strategic investments in AI and technology bolster the sentiment. The Madoff litigation provision is a concern but doesn't alter buyback plans. Overall, positive elements outweigh negatives, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance with a revenue increase, stable net interest income, and a significant share buyback announcement. The Q&A revealed management's confidence in cost savings and continued capital returns, despite some uncertainties. The strong CET1 ratio and dividend reflect financial health. Although there are concerns about trade flow slowdowns, the overall sentiment is optimistic, supported by client growth and strategic cost management. The lack of market cap information suggests a cautious approach, leading to a 'Positive' prediction for stock price movement.
HSBC Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the HSBC Holdings PLC FY2028Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBC) is scheduled to release its FY2028Q3 earnings report onFeb 19, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for HSBC Holdings PLC FY2028Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 14.00B in revenue and an EPS of 1.00 for HSBC Holdings PLC's FY2028Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for HSBC Holdings PLC FY2028Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forHSBC Holdings PLC's FY2028Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 19, 2025. HSBC Holdings PLC The analysis suggests a 'Beat' prediction due to cost-cutting measures, share buybacks, and stabilization of NII, despite some revenue challenges.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade HSBC Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 19, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like HSBC Holdings PLC FY2028Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
