Honeywell International Inc (HON) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Honeywell International Inc (HON) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/29 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 10.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.53 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The forecast anticipates a positive earnings report driven by Aerospace and Building Automation growth, despite some headwinds from litigation and guidance cuts.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Key Positives from Fact Data:
- Aerospace Momentum: Continued strength in Aerospace Technologies (22% order growth in Q3, strong commercial aftermarket/defense orders, new CEO Jim Currier) supports sustained organic growth.
- Margin Expansion in Building Automation: Ongoing margin improvements in Building Automation (BA) signal segment profit upside.
- Strategic Collaborations: Partnerships with TotalEnergies (AI-enhanced refinery operations) and Digimarc (anti-fraud tech) could drive operational efficiency and incremental revenue.
- Spin-off Clarity: Completion of Solstice Advanced Materials spin-off removes uncertainty, allowing focus on core segments.
Key Negatives from Fact Data:
- Litigation Charges: $310M GAAP sales/$370M operating income charge from Flexjet litigation (non-GAAP metrics unaffected, but cash outflow risks).
- Guidance Cuts: FY26 revenue lowered to $ 37.5B-$ 37.7B (vs. prior $ 40.7B-$ 40.9B) due to Solstice spin-off, raising concerns about growth trajectory.
- Analyst Skepticism: Multiple downgrades (BofA, Vertical Research) cite unclear catalysts and 2026 EPS stagnation risks.
Net Impact:
- Revenue: Aerospace and BA strength likely offsets Solstice-related cuts, but lowered guidance aligns with reduced consensus (- 5.8% revenue revisions).
- EPS: Margin expansion and tax rate benefits support EPS beat, though litigation cash outflows create modest headwinds.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Options Play: Buy Jan 2026 $210 calls (priced for muted expectations; upside if Aerospace/BA beat).
- Pairs Trade: Long HON vs. short GE (HON’s aerospace restructuring vs. GE’s overhyped Vernova spin-off).
- Hedge: Short-term puts as protection against litigation-related volatility.
Rationale: Consensus is low (revenue/EPS estimates cut), but Aerospace/BA momentum and tax benefits position HON for a modest beat. The spin-off overhang is priced in, and strategic collaborations offer optionality.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
HON Transcript
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic initiatives such as acquisitions and spin-offs. Despite some segment-specific challenges, overall growth prospects are robust, with positive analyst sentiment and strong order growth. The raised guidance and strategic moves suggest a positive stock price movement, likely in the 2% to 8% range.
HON Slides
HON Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Honeywell International Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Honeywell International Inc (HON) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 29, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Honeywell International Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 10.00B in revenue and an EPS of 3.00 for Honeywell International Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Honeywell International Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forHoneywell International Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 29, 2026. Honeywell International Inc The forecast anticipates a positive earnings report driven by Aerospace and Building Automation growth, despite some headwinds from litigation and guidance cuts.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade HON Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 29, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Honeywell International Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
