Based on the technical and fundamental data analysis, ZK appears overvalued at current levels for several key reasons:
The stock shows significant technical weakness with RSI-14 at 39.67 and stochastic indicators below 15, indicating oversold conditions but continued downward momentum. The price is trading below all major moving averages with negative MACD divergence.
The recent suspension of the $5 billion EV charging infrastructure program creates significant headwinds for EV adoption and could impact ZK's ambitious delivery targets of 320,000 vehicles in 2025.
Despite strong delivery growth of 87% in 2024, the stock has declined over 3.43% in today's trading to $23.63, breaking below key support levels. The Fibonacci support at $23.44 has been breached, suggesting further downside risk to $22.46.
While analysts maintain bullish ratings with price targets up to $31.74, the current valuation appears stretched given:
- Increasing competition in the premium EV segment
- Regulatory uncertainties in key markets
- Technical breakdown below key support levels
- Negative momentum indicators
The stock needs to reclaim the $25.04 Fibonacci pivot level to negate the current bearish bias. Until then, the risk-reward ratio does not justify current valuations.