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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with revenue and free cash flow growth, along with a positive outlook on travel and TSA PreCheck momentum. Shareholder returns are enhanced by dividends and share repurchases. However, there are concerns about gross dollar retention and leadership transition risks. The Q&A reveals some management ambiguity, but overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic initiatives outweigh these concerns. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to experience a positive movement, falling in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
Revenue $207 million to $209 million, up 21% year-over-year, driven by member growth, pricing, strong member retention, and improvements in win-back activity.
Total Bookings $202 million to $204 million, up 17% year-over-year, driven by member growth, pricing, strong member retention, and improvements in win-back activity.
Free Cash Flow $284 million, up 42% year-over-year, reflecting strong operational performance and capital allocation.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 24%, up over 1,000 basis points year-over-year, due to improved member experience and operational efficiencies.
Cumulative Enrollments 28.9 million, up $2.5 million in the quarter, reflecting record growth and continued traction of CLEAR1.
Active CLEAR Plus Members 164,000 growth in the quarter, contributing to overall member growth.
Gross Dollar Retention 88.5%, down 50 basis points sequentially, due to fewer parent members adding family members at higher price points.
Annual Net Member Retention 81.4%, down 10 basis points sequentially, but stabilized with an uptick in win-back activity.
Share Count 137.7 million shares, down 9% year-over-year, due to share repurchase activities.
Cash Position $613 million at year-end, after repurchasing 1.8 million shares in Q4.
Share Repurchase 13.8 million shares repurchased at an average price of $19.78 for the full year 2024.
Special Cash Dividend $0.27 as part of the first quarter 2025 dividend, reflecting favorable corporate structure.
New Products: CLEAR is launching powerful new products like NextGen Identity, face-first EnVe's, TSA PreCheck Enrollment Provided by CLEAR, and enterprise workforce security.
Operational Efficiency: The rollout of EnVe's is expected to streamline operations, serving members with 30% fewer pods and improving lane experience scores and throughput.
Market Expansion: TSA PreCheck has scaled to 91 locations, enhancing accessibility for travelers.
Strategic Shift: CLEAR has rebranded CLEAR Verified to CLEAR1, a vertically integrated identity platform aimed at preventing fraud and enhancing user experiences.
Leadership Change: Ken Cornick will step down from operational roles, with Michael Barkin as the new President and Jen Hsu as the new CFO.
Competitive Pressures: The company faces competitive pressures in the identity verification and security market, particularly as it scales its TSA PreCheck and CLEAR1 services. The need to innovate and maintain a competitive edge is critical as other players may enter the market.
Regulatory Issues: The company operates in a heavily regulated environment, particularly in the travel and healthcare sectors. Changes in regulations or compliance requirements could impact operations and growth.
Supply Chain Challenges: The rollout of new technologies, such as EnVe's and eGates, may face supply chain challenges that could delay implementation and affect operational efficiencies.
Economic Factors: Economic fluctuations, including changes in travel demand and consumer spending, could impact membership growth and retention rates, particularly in the context of annual billing cycles.
Member Retention: The company reported a decline in gross dollar retention and net member retention, indicating potential challenges in maintaining existing members amidst competitive pressures and pricing strategies.
Operational Risks: The transition in leadership with Ken Cornick stepping down from operational roles may pose risks during the transition period, affecting strategic execution and operational continuity.
NextGen Identity: CLEAR is bringing powerful new products to market like NextGen Identity, which enhances member experience and security.
EnVe's Rollout: The rollout of EnVe's is expected to be complete by March, streamlining systems and driving operational efficiencies.
eGates Pilot: CLEAR is piloting eGates in select airports, aiming to modernize airport infrastructure and enhance member experience.
CLEAR1 Platform: CLEAR has rebranded CLEAR Verified to CLEAR1, a vertically integrated identity platform that helps enterprises prevent fraud and improve user experiences.
TSA PreCheck Expansion: TSA PreCheck has scaled to 91 locations, enhancing accessibility for travelers.
Public-Private Partnerships: CLEAR is focused on leveraging public-private partnerships to enhance airport security and traveler experiences.
2025 Revenue Guidance: For Q1 2025, CLEAR expects revenue of $207 million to $209 million and total bookings of $202 million to $204 million.
2025 Free Cash Flow Guidance: CLEAR expects free cash flow of at least $310 million in 2025, including incremental cash taxes and EnVe CapEx.
2025 Growth Expectations: The company anticipates at least 20% free cash flow growth in 2025.
Member Retention: CLEAR expects continued improvement in member retention in 2025 based on lane improvements and innovation.
Operational Efficiency: The company aims to optimize gross dollar retention and increase average revenue per member.
Q1 2025 Dividend: The first quarter 2025 dividend totals $0.395, which includes a $0.27 special cash dividend and a regular quarterly dividend of $0.125.
Share Repurchase Q4 2024: In Q4 2024, 1.8 million shares were repurchased at an average price of $26.36.
Total Share Repurchase 2024: For the full year 2024, 13.8 million shares were repurchased at an average price of $19.78.
Share Repurchase Q1 2025: In the first quarter of 2025, an additional 871,000 shares were repurchased at an average price of $23.08.
Share Count Reduction: The share count shrunk by 9% to end the year at 137.7 million shares.
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance, international expansion, and service enhancements, suggesting positive stock momentum. Despite some management avoidance in specifics, the Q&A reinforced positive trends in membership growth and operational efficiencies. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, aligning with a positive sentiment.
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with 27.4% EBITDA margin and 38.2% member growth. The Q&A reveals positive sentiment, highlighting growth in travel demand, product innovation, and strategic pricing. Despite some uncertainties in international rollout adoption, the company's strong cash position and shareholder returns, coupled with optimistic guidance, suggest a positive stock price reaction. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, likely in the 2% to 8% range.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 42.3% increase in total members, a 17.6% rise in free cash flow, and robust shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. While there are challenges such as supply chain issues and economic factors, the optimistic guidance, new partnerships, and strategic focus on U.S. expansion outweigh these concerns. The Q&A section reflects management's confidence in navigating macroeconomic challenges and maintaining member retention. Given the company's market cap, these factors suggest a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with revenue and free cash flow growth, along with a positive outlook on travel and TSA PreCheck momentum. Shareholder returns are enhanced by dividends and share repurchases. However, there are concerns about gross dollar retention and leadership transition risks. The Q&A reveals some management ambiguity, but overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic initiatives outweigh these concerns. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to experience a positive movement, falling in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
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