The chart below shows how WEN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, WEN sees a +0.16% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.68% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.00%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Sales Performance Growth: Global system wide sales increased over 5% and same restaurant sales grew over 4% in Q4, demonstrating strong performance in the U.S. and international markets.
SpongeBob Anniversary Sales Boost: The collaboration with Paramount for SpongeBob's anniversary drove a remarkable 20% lift in same restaurant sales, showcasing effective marketing strategies.
Global Sales Expansion: Internationally, system wide sales grew 11% on a constant currency basis, highlighting successful expansion efforts and strong net unit growth.
Digital Sales Surge: Digital sales surged nearly 40% year over year, with loyalty member growth up 25%, indicating successful customer engagement and retention strategies.
Shareholder Value Commitment: Wendy's returned over $280 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, reflecting strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder value.
Negative
Same Restaurant Sales Slowdown: U.S. same restaurant sales growth was only 1.4% for the full year 2024, significantly lower than the previous year's performance, indicating a slowdown in consumer demand.
Sales Decline Anticipation: The company anticipates a decline in same restaurant sales in the first quarter of 2025 due to industry traffic headwinds and adverse weather conditions, suggesting ongoing challenges in maintaining growth.
Modest EBITDA Growth Outlook: Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is expected to increase only modestly to between $550 million and $560 million, reflecting limited growth potential amid a competitive market environment.
Restaurant Closure Impact: The decision to close underperforming restaurants in the fourth quarter is expected to negatively impact sales growth in 2025, highlighting the challenges in maintaining a robust restaurant portfolio.
Rising Operational Costs: General and administrative expenses are projected to rise to between $285 million and $290 million in 2025, indicating increased operational costs that could pressure profitability.
Earnings call transcript: Wendy's Q4 2024 beats EPS forecast, stock dips
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