The chart below shows how VOYA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VOYA sees a +0.49% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.08% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.18%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Wealth Solutions Earnings Surge: Earnings for Wealth Solutions increased by 30% year-over-year, with revenue growth and adjusted operating margin exceeding 2024 full year targets.
Defined Contribution Net Flows: Wealth Solutions generated $2 billion of defined contribution net flows in 2024, demonstrating continued commercial momentum.
Earnings Growth Achievement: Voya Investment Management achieved a 20% year-over-year increase in earnings, with an organic growth rate above 4% for the year, comfortably beating targets.
Excess Capital Return: The company returned $800 million of excess capital to shareholders in 2024 through share repurchases and dividends, with expectations to significantly increase excess capital generation in 2025 and 2026.
Transaction Revenue Impact: The OneAmerica transaction is expected to contribute $200 million in revenue and $75 million in incremental operating earnings in 2025, enhancing Voya's scale and capabilities.
Negative
Health Solutions Loss Ratios: Higher loss ratios in Health Solutions negatively impacted overall results, with the January 2024 Stop Loss cohort loss ratio set at 95%, contributing to a reported fourth quarter loss ratio above 95%.
Prepayment Income Outlook: Alternative and prepayment income were $0.53 below long-term expectations, with prepayment income expected to remain low in 2025 due to the higher interest rate environment.
Unfavorable Claims Impact: Adjusted operating earnings for Health Solutions were only $40 million for the year, reflecting unfavorable claims experience in Stop Loss, which is anticipated to continue into 2025.
Wealth Solutions Net Flows: Despite strong sales in Wealth Solutions, higher equity markets led to increased surrender values, negatively impacting net flows in 2024, despite a retention rate of 98.5%.
Margin Moderation Projections: Expected lower spread income and higher spending due to growth investments in Wealth Solutions are projected to moderate margins from high levels in 2024.
Voya Financial, Inc. (NYSE:VOYA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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