VMC Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how VMC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VMC sees a -2.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.20% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.49%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
VMC Key Earning Data
VMC Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Per Share Beat: Vulcan Materials Company reported an EPS of $1, exceeding expectations of $0.764.
Cash Gross Profit Improvement: The company achieved a 20% year-over-year improvement in cash gross profit per ton in Q1.
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion: Adjusted EBITDA increased by 27%, with a 420 basis points expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin.
Freight-Adjusted Price Improvement: Aggregates freight-adjusted price improved by 7% year-over-year, with an 8.5% increase on a mixed adjusted basis.
Cash Gross Profit Growth: Aggregates cash gross profit reached $10.99 per ton, nearing the company's goal of $11 to $12 per ton, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Cash Profitability Improvement: Cash unit profitability in asphalt and concrete expanded by 19% and 77%, respectively, contributing to over 50% improvement in total cash gross profit.
Free Cash Flow Generation: The company generated $869 million in free cash flow over the last 12 months, achieving a 93% conversion of net earnings.
Strategic Investments and Returns: Vulcan allocated $2.2 billion for strategic acquisitions and returned $336 million to shareholders, maintaining a return on invested capital of 16.2%.
Strong Balance Sheet Leverage: The company's net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage was 2.2x, with over $190 million in cash on hand, indicating a strong balance sheet.
Capital Allocation Strengths: Vulcan's disciplined capital allocation and financial flexibility are seen as competitive strengths in navigating the macroeconomic environment.
Negative
Q1 Shipment Decline: Aggregates shipments in the first quarter were 1% lower than the prior year, indicating a slight decline in demand.
Residential Construction Challenges: Private demand is expected to face challenges this year, particularly in residential construction activity due to affordability issues and elevated interest rates.
Housing Market Slowdown: Single-family starts and permits have been declining recently, and multifamily activity remains weak as anticipated, suggesting a slowdown in housing market activity.
Construction Recovery Delays: The interest rate environment and macroeconomic uncertainty are delaying the timing of recovery in private nonresidential construction starts, which could impact future growth.
Public vs. Private Demand: While public demand remains healthy, it is acting as an offset to the challenges faced in private demand, indicating a reliance on public projects for stability.
Tariff Impact on Costs: Tariff-related inflationary pressures may impact operating costs, although they are not expected to have a material effect on earnings, highlighting potential risks in cost management.
VMC FAQs
How does VMC typically perform around its earnings report dates?
VMC's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -2.21% change leading up to the report and a +0.20% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
VMC Earning Call Sentiment
Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE:VMC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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