The chart below shows how VAL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VAL sees a +0.23% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.67%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Free Cash Flow Improvement: 1. Strong Free Cash Flow Generation: Valaris generated $111 million of free cash flow during Q3 2024, reflecting improved cash flow profile compared to the first half of the year.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase: 2. Increased Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $150 million in Q3 2024, up from $139 million in the previous quarter, driven by strong operational performance.
Share Repurchase Program: 3. Significant Share Repurchases: The company repurchased $100 million of shares during the third quarter, totaling $300 million in share repurchases since the program's inception.
Fleet-Wide Revenue Efficiency: 4. High Revenue Efficiency: Valaris achieved fleet-wide revenue efficiency of 98% in Q3 2024, marking the third consecutive quarter of at least 97% efficiency.
Strong Contract Demand: 5. Robust Contract Backlog: Valaris secured new contracts and extensions totaling approximately $257 million in contract backlog, primarily for its jackup fleet, indicating strong demand in the market.
Negative
Revenue Decline Forecast: 1. Declining Revenue Guidance: Valaris expects total revenues in Q4 2024 to decrease to a range of $570 million to $590 million, down from $643 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower utilization of the floater fleet.
Declining EBITDA Forecast: 2. Lower Adjusted EBITDA Forecast: The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 to be between $135 million and $155 million, a decline from $150 million in Q3 2024, indicating a downward trend in profitability.
Idle Rig Impact: 3. Increased Idle Rigs: The DPS-5 and DS-10 rigs are expected to be idle in Q4 2024, contributing to lower overall utilization and revenue generation for the company.
Deferred Customer Demand Decline: 4. Deferred Customer Demand: There has been a year-over-year decline in the pace of contracting, with a significant amount of customer demand being deferred into 2026 due to various operational delays.
Operating Cost Challenges: 5. Rising Operating Costs: The company is facing increased costs associated with warm stacking rigs, which could lead to additional financial strain if not managed effectively.
Valaris Limited (VAL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
VAL.N
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