UNFI Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how UNFI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, UNFI sees a +9.80% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.47% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -5.24%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
UNFI Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
7.87B
4.22%
-3.48%
Gross Margin
13.19%
-3.30%
-3.58%
Operating Margin
0.52%
79.31%
-20.00%
Net Margin
-0.25%
-51.92%
-44.44%
EPS
-0.35
-46.97%
-43.55%
No Data Available
UNFI Earnings Analysis
United Natural Foods Inc Corporation (UNFI.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Q1 2025 Revenue Growth: Revenue growth of over 4% in fiscal Q1 2025, primarily driven by positive volume growth in the wholesale business.
EBITDA Growth Achievement: Adjusted EBITDA increased nearly 15% compared to the prior year, reflecting strong execution against targets.
Free Cash Flow Improvement: Free cash flow improved significantly, reaching approximately $159 million, a notable increase over the past two fiscal years.
First Quarter Sales Increase: Sales for the first quarter came in at $7.9 billion, 4.2% higher than last year's first quarter, indicating strong market performance.
Quarterly Volume Growth: Volume gains in the quarter were about 2% compared to the prior year, continuing a positive trend into Q2.
Negative
Retail Sales Decline: Total retail sales fell 3% year-over-year, with ID sales down 1.4%, both lower declines compared to the fourth quarter of last year.
Gross Margin Rate Decline: Gross margin rate in the first quarter was 13.3% versus 13.7% in Q1 of last year, down about 20 basis points or so versus the fourth quarter.
Operating Expenses Decline: Operating expenses declined by approximately 65 basis points as a percentage of sales, reflecting a decrease in overall operating efficiency.
Net Debt Increase: The net debt levels increased sequentially and ended the quarter at $2.2 billion, contributing to our net leverage increasing by about two tenths of a turn to 4.2x.
EPS Improvement: The adjusted EPS was $0.16 per share compared to a net loss of $0.04 per share in last year's first quarter.
UNFI FAQs
How does UNFI typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
UNFI Earning Call Sentiment
United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
UNFI.N
0%Positive
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, improved free cash flow, and positive adjusted EPS compared to last year. While gross margin contraction and increased net debt pose risks, management's optimistic guidance and focus on cost efficiencies, along with promising growth in specific product categories, suggest a positive outlook. The Q&A section supports this sentiment, with management addressing key concerns and emphasizing opportunities for margin improvement and business expansion. Overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic initiatives outweigh the risks, indicating a likely stock price increase.
