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ULCC Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Frontier Group Holdings Inc(ULCC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Frontier Group Holdings Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05After Hours-0.36-0.34+5.56900.06M886.00M-1.56+1.04-1.56
FY2025Q22025-08-05Pre-Market-0.28-0.31-10.71942.39M929.00M-1.42-15.77-18.34
FY2025Q12025-05-01After Hours-0.22-0.19+13.64925.11M912.00M-1.42+8.04+12.22
FY2024Q42025-02-07Pre-Market0.130.23+76.92986.50M1.00B+1.57+15.45+5.32
FY2024Q32024-10-29Pre-Market-0.02-0.05-150.00942.71M935.00M-0.82-14.44-21.60
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market0.110.14+27.271.03B973.00M-5.14+2.91+1.29
FY2024Q12024-05-02--0.18-0.09+50.00861.52M865.00M+0.40+1.71+3.08
FY2023Q42024-02-06--0.240.00+100.00894.09M891.00M-0.35+20.78+53.01
FY2023Q32023-10-26--0.16-0.14+12.50886.09M883.00M-0.35+9.11-15.89
FY2023Q22023-08-01-0.280.31+10.71965.69M967.00M+0.14-3.66-15.05
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ULCC Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Frontier Group Holdings Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of -0.34, compared to analyst estimates of -0.36 by 5.56% . Revenue for the quarter reached 886.00M compared to expectations of 900.06M by -1.56% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.04% one-day change and a -1.56% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Frontier Group Holdings Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ULCC Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Frontier Group Holdings Inc(ULCC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 986.43M and an EPS of 0.12.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -1.03%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 1.57%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted No Change by -0% . These revisions correlate with a -3.86% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Frontier Group Holdings Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ULCC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.03%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.57%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
No Change
down Image
0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-3.86%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.71B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.73
—
Stock Price4.98
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ULCC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Frontier Group Holdings Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: -0.34 (Actual) vs.-0.36 (Estimate) (5.56%)
Revenue: 886.00M (Actual) vs. 900.06M (Estimate) (-1.56%)
Price Reaction: 1.04%(1-Day), -1.56%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.31 (Actual) vs.-0.28 (Estimate) (-10.71%)
Revenue: 929.00M (Actual) vs. 942.39M (Estimate) (-1.42%)
Price Reaction: -15.77%(1-Day), -18.34%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,After Hours):
EPS: -0.19 (Actual) vs.-0.22 (Estimate) (13.64%)
Revenue: 912.00M (Actual) vs. 925.11M (Estimate) (-1.42%)
Price Reaction: 8.04%(1-Day), 12.22%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ULCC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ULCC sees a +7.10% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.93% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.74%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.04% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.60% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-05
The earnings call summary presents a mix of positive and negative elements. While there are positive indicators such as RASM growth, loyalty program enhancements, and strategic capacity adjustments, the adjusted loss guidance and lack of clear profitability timeline are concerning. The Q&A section reveals optimism but also highlights uncertainties, especially regarding capacity and competitive pressures. Given the market cap and the mixed signals, a neutral stock price movement is anticipated over the next two weeks.
Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-05
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate mixed signals. Financial performance and market strategy are moderately positive, with yield improvements and incremental revenue growth initiatives. However, concerns about domestic capacity losses, wide guidance range, and lack of clarity on future plans offset these positives. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: economic uncertainty impacting demand, competitive pressures, increased operational costs, and projected losses. Despite some positive aspects like premium product performance and liquidity, the overall financial health shows a net loss and negative margins. The Q&A section indicates management's focus on core markets and cost reduction, but also highlights challenges in meeting profitability targets. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a predicted stock price movement of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-07
The earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 12% YoY revenue increase and higher-than-expected pretax margins. Despite some uncertainties in market maturity and air traffic control reforms, the company has a strong liquidity position and cost discipline. The Q&A section highlights positive trends in revenue and premium product uptake. While some concerns exist, the overall sentiment is positive, especially with the strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance. Given the small-cap nature of the company, the stock price is likely to react positively in the short term.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-29
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is slightly positive with a 6% revenue increase and cost savings, but competitive pressures and operational challenges pose risks. The lack of share repurchase and unclear guidance on unit costs are concerns. However, optimistic guidance for future margins and network initiatives provide some positive outlook. The market cap suggests moderate reaction, leading to a neutral stock price prediction (-2% to 2%) over the next two weeks.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-11
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows slight growth, but revenue per passenger decline and operational challenges are concerns. The Q&A reveals some positive trends like September RASM inflection and cost savings, but also highlights uncertainties like regulatory impacts and delivery schedule changes. No share repurchase plan and negative pretax margin outlook add to the neutral sentiment. With a market cap of approximately $1 billion, the stock is likely to see limited movement, leading to a neutral prediction (-2% to 2%) over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ULCC’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ULCC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 886.00M against an estimate of 900.06M, resulting in a -1.56% surprise. The EPS was -0.34, surpassing the expected -0.36 by 5.56% . The stock experienced a 1.04% price change on the earnings day and a -1.56% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ULCC’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ULCC’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 1.04% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.56% change. Historically, ULCC’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +7.10% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.93% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ULCC for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ULCC’s annual revenue to reach 986.43M, while the EPS is projected at 0.12. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.03% and EPS estimates No Change by -0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ULCC’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ULCC’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -1.03%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by -0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ULCC’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ULCC’s stock price typically moves by +7.10% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.93% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.12 and revenue of 986.43M.
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What is the sentiment in Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary presents a mix of positive and negative elements. While there are positive indicators such as RASM growth, loyalty program enhancements, and strategic capacity adjustments, the adjusted loss guidance and lack of clear profitability timeline are concerning. The Q&A section reveals optimism but also highlights uncertainties, especially regarding capacity and competitive pressures. Given the market cap and the mixed signals, a neutral stock price movement is anticipated over the next two weeks.
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