The chart below shows how TU performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TU sees a -0.44% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.32% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Customer Growth Milestone: TELUS achieved over 1.2 million telecom net new customer additions in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of surpassing 1 million customer additions.
Postpaid Churn Rate Stability: Postpaid mobile phone churn was 0.99% for the full year, maintaining a record of less than 1% for 11 consecutive years.
EBITDA Growth Achievement: TELUS reported a 5.5% TTech EBITDA growth for 2024, meeting the target range set at the beginning of the year, with a 7% growth in the fourth quarter.
Customer Telecom Net Additions: The company achieved industry-best total customer telecom net additions of 328,000 for the fourth quarter, with mobile net additions of 264,000.
Wireline Customer Growth: TELUS delivered industry-leading total wireline customer growth, including 37,000 internet net additions in the fourth quarter, contributing to a 3.5% growth in fixed data services revenue.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth: TELUS Health experienced a 10% revenue growth in the fourth quarter, alongside a 20% increase in its EBITDA contribution.
Acquisition Synergy Achievement: Since acquiring LifeWorks, TELUS has achieved $355 million in combined annualized synergies, remaining on track to meet the goal of $427 million by year-end.
Record Sales Performance: The company reported a 16% revenue growth in TELUS Agriculture & Consumer Goods, with eight consecutive quarters of record sales performance.
2025 Revenue and EBITDA Growth: TELUS anticipates a robust outlook for 2025, targeting TTech operating revenue growth of up to 4% and adjusted EBITDA growth of up to 5%.
Free Cash Flow Forecast: Free cash flow for 2025 is forecasted to be approximately $2.15 billion, supported by moderated capital expenditures of approximately $2.5 billion.
Negative
Customer Growth vs. Share Price: Despite achieving strong customer growth, TELUS expressed disappointment in its share price performance over the past year, indicating a disconnect between operational success and market valuation.
Mobile Revenue Stability: Mobile network revenue remained flat, with lower mobile phone ARPU declining by 3.6%, reflecting ongoing competitive pressures in the market.
Free Cash Flow Analysis: Free cash flow for 2024 was approximately $2 billion, slightly below the target of $2.1 billion, primarily due to higher-than-expected cash impacts from contract assets and device financing.
Interest Payment Impact: The company anticipates slightly higher interest payments in 2025, which could impact overall profitability.
Capital Expenditure Decline: The planned slowdown in fiber and wireless asset builds led to a decline in capital expenditures by $294 million or 11%, indicating a potential reduction in growth investment.
Leverage Ratio Analysis: The leverage ratio at the end of 2024 stood at 3.9x, which is above the target of approximately 3x by 2027, suggesting a need for further deleveraging efforts.
TELUS Corporation (NYSE:TU) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
TU.N
1.17%