TPG Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how TPG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TPG sees a +1.33% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.78% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.35%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
TPG Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.08B
10.14%
27.22%
Gross Margin
--
--
--
Operating Margin
0.21%
-97.08%
10.53%
Net Margin
1.03%
-76.27%
-140.71%
EPS
0.03
-25.00%
-137.50%
No Data Available
TPG Earnings Analysis
TPG Inc Corporation (TPG.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Net Income and Earnings Growth: Reported GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. of $13 million and after-tax distributable earnings of $261 million or $0.62 per share of Class A common stock, marking a 27% increase compared to the year-ago quarter.
Record Fundraising Achievement: Successfully raised $30 billion in 2024, representing a 54% increase from 2023 on a pro forma basis, with significant contributions from private equity and infrastructure fundraising.
Record Deployment Achievement: Achieved a record deployment of $33 billion for the full year 2024, with $10 billion deployed in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing strong investment activity.
Performance Allocation Increase: Realized performance allocations totaled $195 million for the full year, a significant increase from $74 million in 2023, highlighting improved monetization efforts across the firm.
AUM Growth and Fundraising: Total assets under management (AUM) increased to $246 billion, up 11% year over year, driven by strong fundraising and value creation efforts.
Negative
Earnings Miss Reported: TPG Inc. misses on earnings expectations with reported EPS of $-0.06, significantly below the expected $0.52.
Fee-Earning AUM Growth: Fee-earning AUM grew only 3% year-over-year to $141 billion, indicating a slowdown in capital deployment and management fee generation.
Capital Outflow Analysis: Despite raising $30 billion in 2024, the firm experienced $23 billion in realizations, highlighting a significant outflow of capital compared to inflows.
Performance Balance Challenges: The net accrued performance balance remained high at $974 million, suggesting challenges in converting performance into realized earnings for shareholders.
Rising Compensation Expenses: Compensation and benefits expenses are expected to increase, with a seasonal step-up of approximately $15 million in Q1, indicating rising operational costs.
TPG FAQs
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TPG Earning Call Sentiment
TPG Inc. (NASDAQ:TPG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
TPG.O
-1.96%Positive
Despite strong fundraising and portfolio appreciation, TPG's EPS miss and regulatory risks weigh heavily on sentiment. The Q&A reveals vague management responses, which further dampen confidence. While the dividend declaration is positive, the lack of a share repurchase program and challenges in market conditions, competition, and integration risks contribute to a negative outlook. The stock, with a market cap of $4.2 billion, is likely to see a moderate negative reaction.
