SNCY Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how SNCY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SNCY sees a +0.70% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
SNCY Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
28.61M
-88.35%
-88.53%
Gross Margin
-275.64%
-612.44%
-594.60%
Operating Margin
-718.98%
-10415.35%
-14595.56%
Net Margin
46.96%
1941.74%
4895.74%
EPS
0.24
140.00%
500.00%
No Data Available
SNCY Earnings Analysis
Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc Corporation (SNCY.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Record Quarterly Revenue Growth: Q4 total revenue reached $260.4 million, a 6.1% increase year-over-year, marking the highest quarterly revenue on record for Sun Country Airlines.
Record Adjusted Operating Margin: Adjusted operating margin for Q4 was 10.6%, the highest on record, contributing to a full year adjusted operating margin of 10.4%.
Cargo Revenue Surge: Cargo revenue grew by 13.1% in Q4 to $28.6 million, achieving an all-time quarterly high despite a decrease in cargo block hours.
Scheduled Service Fare Increase: Average scheduled service fare increased by 2.2% year-over-year to $159.88, reflecting strong demand and pricing power in the scheduled service segment.
Block Hours Growth Projection: The company expects to grow block hours by approximately 30% through 2027, driven by the redelivery of leased aircraft and improved utilization.
Negative
Flat TRASM Performance: Scheduled service TRASM was flat year on year for Q4, indicating a lack of growth in unit revenues despite a competitive environment.
Operating Expense Analysis: Total operating expense grew by 2.6% in Q4, outpacing the 2.7% growth in total block hours, suggesting rising costs without proportional revenue growth.
Rising CASM Pressure: Adjusted CASM is expected to increase mid to high single digits in 2025, indicating potential pressure on profitability due to rising costs.
Flat Revenue Expectations: Scheduled service unit revenues are expected to be roughly flat in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, reflecting stagnation in revenue growth despite previous gains.
Scheduled Service ASM Decline: The anticipated decline in scheduled service ASMs by 3% to 5% in 2025 may negatively impact overall capacity and revenue generation.
SNCY FAQs
How does SNCY typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc (SNCY) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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SNCY Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Sun Country Airlines Q4 2024 sees record revenue
SNCY.O
-7.93%Positive
The earnings report reflects strong financial performance with record-high revenues and operating margins. Despite economic and fuel cost challenges, the company has managed to grow its charter and cargo segments significantly. The Q&A session highlighted positive sentiment from analysts, with management providing optimistic guidance for future growth. The absence of a share buyback announcement and potential risks in supply chain and economic factors are minor negatives, but overall, the financial strength and optimistic outlook suggest a positive stock price movement in the next two weeks.
