Quarterly Results
SNCY Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, SNCY remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 274.58M and an EPS of 0.14.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.01%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.21%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.4% . These revisions correlate with a 40.93% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in SNCY long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how SNCY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SNCY sees a +0.70% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in DEC/2024, the stock changed -0.94% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 12.15% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of SNCY's latest earnings report for FY2024Q4?
SNCY reported its FY2024Q4 earnings on 2025-02-04, showcasing a revenue of 260.41M against an estimate of 258.04M, resulting in a 0.92% surprise. The EPS was 0.27, surpassing the expected 0.21 by 28.57% . The stock experienced a -3.91% price change on the earnings day and a 4.09% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did SNCY's stock price react after the FY2024Q4 earnings release?
Following SNCY's FY2024Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-02-04, the stock price moved by -3.91% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.09% change. Historically, SNCY's stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.70% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.23% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for SNCY for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate SNCY’s annual revenue to reach 274.58M, while the EPS is projected at 0.14. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.01% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.4% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does SNCY's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between SNCY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.01%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.4% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from SNCY's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, SNCY's stock price typically moves by +0.70% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.23% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.14 and revenue of 274.58M.
What is the sentiment in Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc (SNCY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Positive elements include strong TRASM improvements, solid winter sales, and a focus on share buybacks. However, concerns about rising CASM ex-fuel costs, captain upgrades, and unclear responses on maintenance cost stabilization and capacity growth create uncertainties. The lack of specific guidance on first-quarter 2026 margins and the impact of Spirit's exit from Minneapolis also contribute to a neutral sentiment. Without market cap data, the stock reaction is uncertain, but the mixed signals suggest limited movement.

