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SGHC Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of SGHC Ltd(SGHC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of SGHC Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-03After Hours0.140.19+35.71510.39M556.32M+9.00+15.63+9.09
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours0.13--536.05M580.41M+8.28-3.80+1.67
FY2025Q12025-05-08After Hours0.090.12+33.33504.47M514.74M+2.03-5.80-2.50
FY2024Q42025-02-25Pre-Market0.190.17-10.53490.00M500.00M+2.04-7.71-13.10
FY2024Q22024-08-07Pre-Market0.110.08-27.27402.48M414.75M+3.05-8.88-7.40
FY2024Q12024-05-08-0.050.04-20.00362.95M379.25M+4.49+0.57+0.57
-2024-04-25---0.04-----0.33+8.67
FY2023Q32023-11-09-0.030.04+33.33319.75M356.89M+11.61-7.83-13.84
FY2023Q22023-08-17-0.040.07+75.00349.13M380.79M+9.07+16.38+22.87
-2023-05-24-0.02-0.01-150.00----3.11-17.80
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Intellectia AI SwingMax

SGHC Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, SGHC Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-03. The company achieved an EPS of 0.19, compared to analyst estimates of 0.14 by 35.71% . Revenue for the quarter reached 556.32M compared to expectations of 510.39M by 9.00% .
The stock price reacted with a 15.63% one-day change and a 9.09% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in SGHC Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

SGHC Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, SGHC Ltd(SGHC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 580.00M and an EPS of 0.18.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 5.07%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 9.89%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 8.1% . These revisions correlate with a -11.94% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in SGHC Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between SGHC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+5.07%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+9.89%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+8.1%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-11.94%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.23B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.48
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Stock Price11.14
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Financial AI Agent

SGHC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

SGHC Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-03,After Hours):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.0.14 (Estimate) (35.71%)
Revenue: 556.32M (Actual) vs. 510.39M (Estimate) (9.00%)
Price Reaction: 15.63%(1-Day), 9.09%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: (Actual) vs.0.13 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 580.41M (Actual) vs. 536.05M (Estimate) (8.28%)
Price Reaction: -3.80%(1-Day), 1.67%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-08,After Hours):
EPS: 0.12 (Actual) vs.0.09 (Estimate) (33.33%)
Revenue: 514.74M (Actual) vs. 504.47M (Estimate) (2.03%)
Price Reaction: -5.80%(1-Day), -2.50%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how SGHC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SGHC sees a +4.23% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.70% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.61%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 15.63% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 14.39% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

SGHC Ltd (SGHC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-04
The earnings call summary and Q&A reflect a positive outlook with raised guidance, sustainable margins, and strategic market expansions. Despite the exit from the U.S. market, the company is making significant investments in technology and new product launches, which are expected to drive growth. The raised EBITDA guidance and strong market-specific strategies, such as in Africa and Spain, further support a positive sentiment. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a 'Positive' prediction of 2% to 8% stock price increase.
SGHC Ltd (SGHC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 15% YoY revenue increase and a robust balance sheet with $393 million in cash and no debt. Management's strategic exit from the U.S. market is aimed at reallocating resources to more profitable regions, with expected cost savings. The company's marketing strategy and product innovations are driving growth. Despite concerns about lower H2 guidance, management attributes this to a disciplined forecasting approach. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, and overall, the positive financial health and strategic focus are likely to result in a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
SGHC Ltd (SGHC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-09
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with a 25% revenue increase and a 120% rise in adjusted EBITDA. The company is maintaining revenue guidance above $2 billion, and has increased dividends, signaling confidence. Despite some regulatory and competitive challenges, optimistic guidance and strategic expansion plans, including the U.S. iGaming market and potential Canadian market entry, contribute to a positive sentiment. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a predicted positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
SGHC Ltd (SGHC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-25
The earnings call presents strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, especially ex-US. Positive sentiment is reinforced by increased dividends and optimistic guidance. However, regulatory and competitive risks, along with unclear responses on acquisitions and tax impacts, temper enthusiasm. Overall, the positive aspects, including a special cash dividend and strong growth figures, outweigh the negatives, suggesting a moderate stock price increase.
Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-06
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with 13% revenue growth and a 52% increase in adjusted EBITDA, alongside a consistent 24% margin. The company is raising EBITDA guidance, indicating confidence in future performance. The dividend policy, including a special dividend consideration, should positively impact shareholder sentiment. Despite challenges in the US market, cost savings from the sportsbook shutdown and strategic focus on more profitable regions like Africa and Latin America are prudent. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, aligning with a positive stock price movement prediction of 2% to 8%.
Super Group Limited (SGHC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-07
The earnings call provides a mixed picture. Strong financial performance outside the U.S. and the introduction of a dividend are positives. However, the U.S. operations show significant losses and regulatory challenges. The Q&A reveals uncertainty in U.S. market strategy and competitive pressures. Despite some positive elements, the lack of clear guidance and ongoing U.S. losses suggest a balanced outlook. Given the mid-sized market cap, the stock price reaction is likely to be muted, resulting in a neutral prediction.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of SGHC’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

SGHC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-03, showcasing a revenue of 556.32M against an estimate of 510.39M, resulting in a 9% surprise. The EPS was 0.19, surpassing the expected 0.14 by 35.71% . The stock experienced a 15.63% price change on the earnings day and a 9.09% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did SGHC’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following SGHC’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-03, the stock price moved by 15.63% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 9.09% change. Historically, SGHC’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +4.23% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.70% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for SGHC for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate SGHC’s annual revenue to reach 580.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.18. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 5.07% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 8.1% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does SGHC’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between SGHC’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 5.07%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 8.1% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from SGHC’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, SGHC’s stock price typically moves by +4.23% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.70% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.18 and revenue of 580.00M.
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What is the sentiment in SGHC Ltd (SGHC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A reflect a positive outlook with raised guidance, sustainable margins, and strategic market expansions. Despite the exit from the U.S. market, the company is making significant investments in technology and new product launches, which are expected to drive growth. The raised EBITDA guidance and strong market-specific strategies, such as in Africa and Spain, further support a positive sentiment. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a 'Positive' prediction of 2% to 8% stock price increase.
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