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RRGB Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc(RRGB) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-10After Hours-0.78-0.70+10.26256.75M265.13M+3.26-6.38-10.85
FY2025Q22025-08-13After Hours-0.250.26+204.00279.17M283.70M+1.63+1.33+11.00
FY2025Q12025-05-29After Hours-0.570.19+133.33388.77M392.35M+0.92+62.94+107.67
FY2024Q42025-02-26After Hours-0.54-0.94-74.07285.20M285.23M+0.01+34.51+6.86
FY2024Q22024-08-22After Hours-0.41-0.47-14.63292.31M300.15M+2.69-8.25-23.89
FY2024Q12024-05-29--0.41-0.80-95.12392.74M388.54M-1.07-1.61+20.18
FY2023Q42024-02-28--0.43-0.66-53.49304.97M309.03M+1.33-2.27-16.82
FY2023Q32023-11-01--0.81-0.79+2.47275.65M277.56M+0.69-1.24+12.36
FY2023Q22023-08-17--0.55-0.24+56.36295.26M298.65M+1.15-4.47-8.49
-2023-05-24--0.620.25+140.32---+3.51-9.24
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RRGB Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-10. The company achieved an EPS of -0.70, compared to analyst estimates of -0.78 by 10.26% . Revenue for the quarter reached 265.13M compared to expectations of 256.75M by 3.26% .
The stock price reacted with a -6.38% one-day change and a -10.85% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

RRGB Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc(RRGB) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 264.13M and an EPS of -0.59.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.8%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 7.59%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.47% . These revisions correlate with a -33.87% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between RRGB's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.8%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+7.59%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+0.47%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-33.87%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.21B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.78
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Stock Price4.08
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RRGB Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-10,After Hours):
EPS: -0.70 (Actual) vs.-0.78 (Estimate) (10.26%)
Revenue: 265.13M (Actual) vs. 256.75M (Estimate) (3.26%)
Price Reaction: -6.38%(1-Day), -10.85%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-13,After Hours):
EPS: 0.26 (Actual) vs.-0.25 (Estimate) (204.00%)
Revenue: 283.70M (Actual) vs. 279.17M (Estimate) (1.63%)
Price Reaction: 1.33%(1-Day), 11.00%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-29,After Hours):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.-0.57 (Estimate) (133.33%)
Revenue: 392.35M (Actual) vs. 388.77M (Estimate) (0.92%)
Price Reaction: 62.94%(1-Day), 107.67%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how RRGB performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, RRGB sees a +10.06% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.86% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.22%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -6.38% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -17.45% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-11-10
Despite some positive operational improvements, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining revenue, weak guidance, and inflationary pressures on beef costs. The Q&A revealed concerns about refranchising progress and vague management responses. The revised revenue guidance and expected decline in same-store sales also contribute to a negative outlook, outweighing positive elements like cost efficiency gains and the Big Yummm initiative's impact.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-13
The earnings call revealed mixed signals: positive EBITDA growth and debt reduction, but flat sales and traffic trends. The Q&A highlighted uncertainties in labor efficiency and commodity cost pressures. Management's optimism on traffic improvement and promotional strategies is tempered by lack of clear targets. The absence of price increases and ongoing cost pressures suggest a cautious outlook. Given these factors, a neutral stock price movement is expected.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-29
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook. While there are positive elements such as improved labor cost efficiency, increased adjusted EBITDA, and a focus on reducing debt, challenges remain. Traffic trends are declining, competitive pressures persist, and supply chain issues loom. The lack of a share repurchase program and flat revenue guidance further temper optimism. The Q&A highlighted management's cautious approach and lack of clear guidance on debt refinancing. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, balancing positive financial metrics against ongoing risks and uncertainties.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-29
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are improvements in operational efficiency and a slight revenue increase, the company faces challenges such as declining guest traffic, competitive pressures, and supply chain issues. The management's cautious tone on refinancing debt and maintaining guest traffic adds uncertainty. The Q&A reveals concerns about maintaining efficiency and traffic, with management avoiding clear timelines on debt refinancing. Despite some positive elements like debt repayment and improved profit margins, the overall sentiment remains balanced, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-26
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Basic financial performance shows a decline in total revenue but an increase in comparable restaurant revenue. Product development and business updates are positive with initiatives like the Loyalty 2.0 program. However, market strategy faces challenges with competitive pressures and restaurant closures. Expenses are managed well, but financial health is a concern with a significant debt balance. Shareholder return plans focus on debt reduction rather than direct returns. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, considering both positive and negative factors without a strong catalyst for significant stock movement.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-11-07
The earnings call reveals several challenges: declining revenues, increased costs, and a significant number of underperforming restaurants. Although there are some positive elements, like the loyalty program and modest same-store sales growth, these are overshadowed by operational inefficiencies and financial strains. The lack of a shareholder return plan and increased compliance leverage ratios further contribute to a negative outlook. The Q&A section does not provide substantial positive insights to offset these issues, leading to a prediction of negative stock movement over the next two weeks.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-08-22
The earnings call indicates a negative outlook due to lowered financial guidance and traffic expectations, declining operating profit margins, and increased costs. Despite some operational improvements and a successful loyalty program, the lack of a share repurchase program and the need for financial flexibility through credit amendments suggest financial strain. The Q&A session highlighted traffic and cost challenges, with management's unclear responses on certain issues further adding to uncertainty. These factors, combined with a downtrend in comparable restaurant revenue and no shareholder return plan, suggest a negative sentiment.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of RRGB’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

RRGB reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-10, showcasing a revenue of 265.13M against an estimate of 256.75M, resulting in a 3.26% surprise. The EPS was -0.7, surpassing the expected -0.78 by 10.26% . The stock experienced a -6.38% price change on the earnings day and a -10.85% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did RRGB’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following RRGB’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-10, the stock price moved by -6.38% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -10.85% change. Historically, RRGB’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +10.06% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.86% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for RRGB for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate RRGB’s annual revenue to reach 264.13M, while the EPS is projected at -0.59. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.8% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.47% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does RRGB’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between RRGB’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.8%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.47% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from RRGB’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, RRGB’s stock price typically moves by +10.06% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.86% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.59 and revenue of 264.13M.
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What is the sentiment in Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

Despite some positive operational improvements, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining revenue, weak guidance, and inflationary pressures on beef costs. The Q&A revealed concerns about refranchising progress and vague management responses. The revised revenue guidance and expected decline in same-store sales also contribute to a negative outlook, outweighing positive elements like cost efficiency gains and the Big Yummm initiative's impact.
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