RAIL Valuation

FreightCar America Inc

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8.635

-0.255(-2.868%)1D

RAIL Relative Valuation

RAIL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, RAIL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

FreightCar America Inc (RAIL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 8.89 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -0.74. The fair price of FreightCar America Inc (RAIL) is between to according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

Current Price：8.53

Fair

12.52

Trailing

Forward

4.60

EV/EBITDA

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.60. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -5.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -114.11, Undervalued between -114.11 and -59.99, Fairly Valued between 48.25 and -59.99, Overvalued between 48.25 and 102.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 102.37. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.60 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.33

EV/EBIT

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) has a current EV/EBIT of 5.33. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 8.69. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -17.10, Undervalued between -17.10 and -4.21, Fairly Valued between 21.59 and -4.21, Overvalued between 21.59 and 34.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 34.48. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 5.33 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.89

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) has a current PS of 8.89. The 5-year average PS is 0.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.81, Undervalued between -0.81 and -0.28, Fairly Valued between 0.77 and -0.28, Overvalued between 0.77 and 1.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.29. The current Forward PS of 8.89 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

4.87

P/OCF

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) has a current P/OCF of 4.87. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.61, Undervalued between -44.61 and -18.42, Fairly Valued between 33.95 and -18.42, Overvalued between 33.95 and 60.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 60.14. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.87 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.28

P/FCF

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) has a current P/FCF of 7.28. The 5-year average P/FCF is 2.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.46, Undervalued between -5.46 and -1.59, Fairly Valued between 6.17 and -1.59, Overvalued between 6.17 and 10.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.05. The current Forward P/FCF of 7.28 falls within the Overvalued range.

FreightCar America Inc (RAIL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -2.04. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -1.71 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 18.98% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -4.83, the current P/B ratio is about -57.83% higher. FreightCar America Inc (RAIL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 18.05%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.85%, the current FCF yield is approximately 532.37% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -33.00% , the current FCF yield is about -154.70% lower.

-2.04

P/B

Median3y

-1.71

Median5y

-4.83

18.05

FCF Yield

Median3y

2.85

Median5y

-33.00

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for RAIL's competitors is 18.72, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. FreightCar America Inc Corp (RAIL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 8.89, which is -52.51% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -19.53%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

RAIL.O

FreightCar America Inc

Gencor Industries Inc

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of RAIL decreased by 11.89% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 5.55 to 9.85.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -19.53%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of RAIL in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-19.53%

147.42M → 118.62M

Revenue Growth

77.48%

5.55 → 9.85

Margin Expansion

-69.84%

-39.18 → -11.82

P/E Change

-11.89%