The chart below shows how PX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PX sees a +1.69% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.10%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Fundraising Milestone Achieved: 1. Record Fundraising: In Q3 2024, P10 raised and deployed $1.4 billion in gross new fee-paying AUM, contributing to a total of $2.9 billion raised year-to-date, surpassing the full-year guidance of $2.5 billion.
Impressive Revenue Surge: 2. Strong Revenue Growth: The company reported revenue of $74 million for Q3 2024, reflecting a 26% year-over-year increase, with fee-related revenue also increasing by 26% to $73 million.
Fee-Related Earnings Surge: 3. Increased Fee-Related Earnings: Fee-related earnings (FRE) reached approximately $35 million in Q3 2024, marking a 19% increase from the previous year, resulting in an FRE margin of 48%.
Share Repurchase Activity: 4. Share Repurchase Program: P10 repurchased 609,300 shares at an average price of $10.15 per share in Q3 2024, bringing total repurchases for the year to about $5.8 million, demonstrating confidence in the company's stock value.
Fee-Paying AUM Growth: 5. Growing Fee-Paying AUM: As of the end of Q3 2024, fee-paying assets under management increased to $24.9 billion, a 10% year-over-year growth, indicating strong demand and effective capital deployment strategies.
Negative
Fundraising and Asset Instability: 1. High Step-Downs and Expirations: In Q3, $1.4 billion in fundraising was offset by $285 million in step-downs and expirations, primarily from private credit solutions, indicating potential instability in asset retention.
Rising Operating Expenses: 2. Increased Operating Expenses: Operating expenses rose to $65.4 million, a 12% increase year-over-year, driven by compensation and professional fees related to the Qualitas Funds transaction and recent debt refinancing, suggesting rising cost pressures.
Liquidity Concerns: 3. Low Cash Reserves: Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q3 were only $61 million, raising concerns about liquidity given the outstanding term loan balance of $325 million and the need for operational flexibility.
Share Repurchase Limitations: 4. Limited Share Repurchase Activity: The company repurchased fewer shares in Q3 compared to previous quarters due to a blackout period related to the Qualitas Funds transaction, indicating potential limitations in returning capital to shareholders.
Board Governance Concerns: 5. Board Departures: The departure of co-founders Robert Alpert and Clark Webb from the board raises governance concerns, as their contributions were significant to the company's past performance and strategic direction.
P10, Inc. (PX) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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