The chart below shows how OLO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, OLO sees a -0.31% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -5.73% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.96%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Gross Merchandise Volume Achievement: Olo powered $29 billion in gross merchandise volume in 2024, making it the second largest brand in North America if it were a restaurant.
Gross Payment Volume Surge: Gross payment volume more than doubled to $2.8 billion, up from over $1 billion in 2023.
Location Expansion Growth: Active locations increased to approximately 86,000, adding about 1,000 net new locations in Q4 and 6,000 in full year 2024.
Revenue Retention Metrics: Net revenue retention was 115% at year-end, with gross revenue retention exceeding 98%.
ARPU Growth Analysis: ARPU grew by 12% year-over-year, reaching approximately $878 in Q4.
Q4 Gross Profit Increase: Gross profit for Q4 was $45.2 million, an 11% increase year-over-year, with a gross margin of 59.5%.
Q4 Operating Income Increase: Operating income for Q4 was $11.5 million, up from $6.8 million a year ago, with an operating margin of 15.1%.
Revenue and ARPU Growth: Full year 2024 revenue was $284.9 million, a 25% increase, with ARPU also rising by 25%.
Olo Pay Revenue Growth: Olo Pay revenue was slightly above $70 million for the year, contributing to overall growth.
Cash Flow Performance: The company generated approximately $40 million in cash from operating activities and $27 million in free cash flow for the full year 2024.
Partnership Impact on Olo Pay: The partnership with FreedomPay is expected to accelerate Olo Pay's market deployment and enhance customer choice.
2025 Revenue and Income Guidance: Olo's 2025 guidance anticipates revenue growth to $333 million to $336 million, with non-GAAP operating income expected to be between $45.5 million and $47 million.
Negative
Revenue vs. Profit Growth: Total revenue growth of 21% in Q4 2024, while gross profit growth was only 11%, indicating a potential slowdown in profitability relative to revenue growth.
Gross Margin Challenges Ahead: Gross margin for Q4 2024 was 59.5%, with expectations of a 250 basis point compression in gross margins for full year 2025, suggesting challenges in maintaining profitability as the company scales its Olo Pay revenue.
Operating Expenses Outlook: Operating expenses are expected to grow in the mid-single-digits percent range for 2025, which could impact overall profitability if revenue growth does not keep pace.
Card-Present Revenue Delay: The company anticipates that card-present revenue will only begin to ramp in the second half of 2025, indicating a delay in realizing the full potential of this revenue stream.
Macroeconomic Challenges Ahead: Despite a strong performance in 2024, the company acknowledges ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and rising costs in the restaurant industry, which could affect future growth and profitability.
Revenue Growth Limitations: The guidance for 2025 includes a significant reliance on existing projects for revenue growth, which may limit the potential for new business development and diversification.
Olo Inc. (OLO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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