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The earnings call summary reveals several concerning factors: declining gross margins, increased operating expenses, expanding net loss, strategic uncertainty for key products, and reliance on a single product in early commercialization. Additionally, revenue and gross profit have significantly decreased, and the use of an ATM facility for stock sales raises governance concerns. The Q&A section highlights strategic uncertainties and management's evasive responses. Given these issues, the stock is likely to experience a strong negative reaction.
Q4 2023 Revenue $1.3 million, down 32% from Q4 2022 due to Medicare Advantage CMS rule changes affecting reimbursement for patient screening.
Full-Year 2023 Revenue $5.9 million, down 29% from $8.3 million in 2022, primarily due to Medicare Advantage CMS rule changes.
Q4 2023 Gross Profit $850,000, down $400,000 from $1.2 million in Q4 2022, correlating with the drop in revenue.
Q4 2023 Gross Margin Rate 64.4%, a slight contraction from the prior year quarter due to reduced absorption of indirect manufacturing costs from lower production volumes.
Full-Year 2023 Gross Profit $3.9 million, down $1.8 million from $5.8 million in 2022, with a margin rate of about 67%, down from just under 70%.
Q4 2023 Operating Expenses $2.7 million, an increase of $600,000 or 30% from the prior year quarter, due to R&D spending and increased sales and marketing headcount.
Full-Year 2023 Operating Expenses $11.1 million, an increase of $600,000 or 5.8% from 2022.
Q4 2023 Net Loss $1.6 million or $1.43 per share, an increase of $1 million from a net loss of just under $700,000 or $0.73 a share in Q4 2022.
Full-Year 2023 Net Loss $6.5 million or $6.27 per share, increased from a loss of $4.4 million or $4.97 per share in 2022.
Q4 2023 Operating Cash Usage $1.4 million, compared to $1.5 million in Q4 2022.
Liquid Assets at End of Q4 2023 $18 million, as mentioned by the CFO.
Common Stock Sales in Q4 2023 Approximately $1.9 million, with about $1.6 million settled during the fourth quarter.
Common Stock Outstanding at End of 2023 Approximately 1.5 million shares after a reverse split implemented on November 1, 2023.
Quell Fibromyalgia Revenue Growth: Quell Fibromyalgia revenue nearly doubled from Q3 to Q4 2023, with 583 prescriptions written in Q4 compared to 262 in Q3.
Quell Neurotherapeutics Program: The Quell Neurotherapeutics program aims to expand indications beyond Fibromyalgia, with a 510(k) submission for CIPN expected by the end of 2023 or early 2024.
DPNCheck Revenue Decline: DPNCheck revenue decreased by 32% in Q4 2023 due to Medicare Advantage CMS rule changes, contributing to a 25% decline for the full year.
Market Strategy Shift for DPNCheck: The company plans to revise the DPNCheck strategy to move away from Medicare Advantage focus towards broader value-based care.
Operating Expenses Increase: Operating expenses in Q4 2023 increased by 30% to $2.7 million, driven by R&D spending and increased sales and marketing headcount.
Cash Usage Rate: The cash usage rate averaged $1.5 million per quarter during 2023, with liquid assets totaling $18 million at the end of Q4.
Strategic Review Process: The company is reviewing strategic options to promote growth and maximize shareholder value, including potential changes in marketing strategies and asset acquisitions.
Medicare Advantage CMS Rule Changes: The company experienced a significant decline in revenue due to changes in Medicare Advantage reimbursement rules, which are phasing out coverage for peripheral neuropathy screenings. This has led to a 32% decrease in DPNCheck revenue in Q4 2023 and a 25% contraction for the full year.
Revenue Decline: Overall revenue for NeuroMetrix decreased by 29% in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to the impact of the Medicare Advantage changes.
Operating Expenses Increase: Operating expenses increased by 30% in Q4 2023 compared to the previous year, driven by higher R&D spending and increased personnel costs.
Strategic Business Model Shift: The company is evaluating a shift away from a Medicare Advantage-focused business model to a broader value-based care approach, which may take time to implement and could delay revenue recovery.
Stock Price Divergence: There is a noted divergence between the company's stock price and the perceived potential of its product lines, prompting a review of strategic options to enhance shareholder value.
Regulatory Risks: The changes in CMS regulations introduce uncertainty and risk to the company's revenue streams, particularly affecting the DPNCheck product line.
Market Competition: The company faces competitive pressures in the medical device market, particularly in the neuromodulation and peripheral neuropathy testing sectors.
Growth Strategy: NeuroMetrix's growth strategy focuses on three core efforts: 1) Establishing and growing the Quell Fibromyalgia indication in the U.S. market. 2) Advancing the Quell Neurotherapeutics program for additional indications. 3) Revising the DPNCheck business strategy in response to recent Medicare changes.
Quell Fibromyalgia: The Quell Fibromyalgia product is in a strategic phase to optimize prescription processing, refine clinical messaging, and identify attractive patient cohorts. The company has seen an increase in prescribers and prescriptions written.
DPNCheck Strategy: Due to changes in Medicare Advantage policies, NeuroMetrix is reevaluating its DPNCheck strategy, moving away from a focus on Medicare Advantage to broader value-based care.
Strategic Options Review: The company is reviewing strategic options to promote growth and maximize shareholder value, including changes in marketing strategies, potential asset acquisitions, and mergers.
Revenue Expectations: For the full-year 2023, revenue was $5.9 million, down 29% from 2022, primarily due to Medicare changes. The company does not expect a reversal in DPNCheck revenue this year.
Future Revenue from Quell: The company anticipates continued growth in the Quell Fibromyalgia business, with hopes for material revenue in 2024.
Operating Cash Flow: Despite challenges, the DPNCheck business is expected to continue generating positive cash flow due to attractive operating margins.
FDA Review Timeline: The company could initiate commercialization of Quell for CIPN before the end of 2024, depending on FDA review timelines.
Common Stock Sales: During Q4, we executed sales of common stock under our ATM facility of approximately $1.9 million.
Common Stock Outstanding: Common stock outstanding at the end of 2023 totaled approximately 1.5 million shares.
Reverse Stock Split: We implemented a reverse split in the ratio of 1.8% in order to comply with NASDAQ minimum bid requirements.
Strategic Options Review: We announced that we were initiating a process to review strategic options to promote growth of our product lines and to maximize shareholder value.
The earnings call reveals significant revenue decline, primarily due to CMS rule changes impacting DPNCheck, and uncertain future revenue from new markets. Despite Quell's growth, overall financial performance is weak, with a net loss and reduced gross margins. The strategic review has not yielded favorable outcomes, and management's unclear responses in the Q&A add to uncertainty. The termination of the ATM equity facility without clear shareholder return strategies further supports a negative outlook. These factors suggest a potential stock price decline in the short term.
The earnings call summary reveals several concerning factors: declining gross margins, increased operating expenses, expanding net loss, strategic uncertainty for key products, and reliance on a single product in early commercialization. Additionally, revenue and gross profit have significantly decreased, and the use of an ATM facility for stock sales raises governance concerns. The Q&A section highlights strategic uncertainties and management's evasive responses. Given these issues, the stock is likely to experience a strong negative reaction.
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