The chart below shows how NUE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NUE sees a -1.98% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.93% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.75%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Safety Milestone Achieved: 2024 was the safest year in Nucor's history, with the fewest number of recordable and reportable injuries on record and a declining injury and illness rate for the 7th consecutive year.
Earnings and EBITDA Summary: Nucor earned $1.22 per share in Q4 and $8.46 for the full year, generating EBITDA of $751 million for the quarter and nearly $4.4 billion for the year.
Shareholder Returns Overview: Nucor returned over $2.7 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in 2024, with a total of approximately $12.5 billion returned over the last 5 years.
West Virginia Sheet Mill Project: The company is on track to complete its West Virginia Sheet Mill by the end of 2026, which is expected to produce advanced sheet steels targeting automotive and construction markets.
Projected Revenue Growth: Nucor anticipates double-digit top-line growth for its overhead doors, racking, and insulated metal panels segments in 2025, with expected EBITDA growth from these platforms exceeding $450 million.
Negative
Steel Mill Earnings Decline: Steel mill segment pre-tax earnings decreased by approximately 45% from the prior quarter, primarily due to declining realized pricing and metal margins, with half of the decline attributed to the sheet business.
Steel Products Earnings Decline: The Steel Products segment reported pre-tax earnings of $329 million for Q4, a decrease of about 5% compared to the previous quarter, with volumes down 4% and realized pricing declining by 1%.
Declining Operating Margins: Operating margins for several products weakened, indicating a potential trend of lower profitability in the upcoming quarters as backlog pricing remains below pre-pandemic levels.
Raw Materials Segment Decline: The raw materials segment's contribution is expected to decline in Q1 due to lower realized transfer prices for DRI, despite a slight increase in ferrous scrap pricing.
Q1 Net Earnings Projection: Net earnings for Q1 are projected to be slightly lower than Q4, as the discrete benefits seen in Q4 from corporate and tax items are not expected to recur.
Earnings call transcript: Nucor's Q4 2024 earnings beat forecasts, stock rises
NUE.N
-1.11%