NHTC Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how NHTC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NHTC sees a -4.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -4.34% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.48%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
NHTC Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
10.85M
-0.83%
1.45%
Gross Margin
74.17%
-0.44%
0.04%
Operating Margin
-3.88%
75.57%
50.97%
Net Margin
1.62%
-50.46%
390.91%
EPS
0.02
-33.33%
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No Data Available
NHTC Earnings Analysis
Natural Health Trends Corp Corporation (NHTC.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Greater China Sales Growth: Greater China net sales increased by 7% compared to Q4 2023 and 9% compared to Q3 2024, indicating effective consumer engagement strategies.
Strong Liquidity Position: Total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities stood at $43.9 million as of December 31, demonstrating strong liquidity despite a slight decrease from the previous quarter.
Dividend Payout Commitment: For the full year 2024, the company paid out $9.2 million in dividends, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to stockholders.
Operating Cash Flow Improvement: Net cash provided by operating activities was $88,000 in Q4 2024, and excluding tax payments, cash flows from operations improved by $1.8 million year-over-year to $602,000.
Product Launch and Engagement: The company successfully launched two new products in Hong Kong, followed by a six-city roadshow in China, enhancing product visibility and consumer engagement.
Negative
Quarterly Revenue Stagnation: Total fourth quarter revenue of $10,800,000 was roughly unchanged from $10,900,000 in the fourth quarter a year ago, indicating stagnation in sales performance.
Member Base Decline: Active member base was 30,870 at December 31, consistent with September 30, representing a 5% decline since December 2023, highlighting challenges in customer retention.
Gross Profit Margin Decline: Gross profit margin of 74.2% in the fourth quarter declined slightly from 74.5% in the fourth quarter last year, primarily due to higher freight costs, reflecting increased operational pressures.
Quarterly Operating Loss Increase: Operating loss for the quarter was $421,000 compared to $242,000 in the fourth quarter last year, indicating worsening financial performance year-over-year.
Liquidity Decrease Analysis: Total cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $43,900,000 at December 31, down from $46,300,000 at September 30, signaling a decrease in liquidity due to dividend payments.
NHTC FAQs
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NHTC Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Natural Health Trends Q4 2024 shows flat revenue
NHTC.O
1.48%Positive
The earnings call reveals stagnant revenue, declining net income, and increased operating losses, with challenges in key markets like Greater China. Despite some positive cash flow developments and dividend commitments, the lack of clarity on strategic adjustments and a declining member base raise concerns. The Q&A session highlights these issues without providing reassuring guidance, leading to a negative sentiment. The market is likely to react negatively, with potential stock price decline in the range of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
