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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with increased net sales, EPS, and operating income. Positive indicators include improved store sales growth outlook and consistent customer engagement. The Q&A section shows some uncertainty around margins due to tariffs and competitive pricing, but overall sentiment remains positive due to strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance. The lack of a market cap suggests a potential for stronger stock movement, but the absence of a new partnership or major negative factors supports a prediction of a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
Net Sales $330,200,000, an increase of 9.4% from the prior year period.
Daily Average Comparable Store Sales Increased 8.9% for the first quarter and 15.1% on a two-year basis.
Daily Average Comparable Transaction Count Increased 5.3%, marking the eighth consecutive quarter with positive customer traffic comps.
Daily Average Comparable Transaction Size Increased 3.4%, including an increase in items per basket of approximately 2%.
Gross Margin Increased 50 basis points to 29.9%, driven by store occupancy cost leverage and higher product margin.
Store Expenses Increased 8.1%, primarily driven by higher compensation expenses, but as a percentage of net sales decreased by 20 basis points.
Administrative Expenses Increased as a percentage of net sales by 40 basis points, driven by higher compensation and technology expenses.
Operating Income Increased 23.6% to $13,300,000.
Net Income Increased 28.1% to $9,900,000.
Diluted Earnings Per Share Increased 26.5% to $0.43.
Adjusted EBITDA Increased 21.7% to $22,800,000.
Cash and Cash Equivalents $6,300,000.
Available Borrowing on Credit Facility $61,400,000 out of a $72,500,000 revolving credit facility.
Outstanding Borrowings on Credit Facility $8,900,000.
Net Capital Expenditures $9,400,000, primarily for new and relocated stores.
New Product Launches: During the first quarter, we launched 23 new Natural Grocers brand items that all meet our high standards for nutritional health and sustainability, including organic varieties of tomato sauce, pasta and soup.
Market Expansion: During fiscal twenty twenty five, we plan to open four to six new stores and relocate or remodel two to four stores. Subsequent to the quarter, we opened a new store in Brownsville, Texas.
Operational Efficiency: Robust and balanced sales growth combined with effective expense management drove significant operating leverage and generated a 26.5% year over year increase in diluted earnings per share.
Customer Engagement: During the first quarter, net sales penetration of our NPower rewards program was 81%, up from 78% a year ago, reflecting continued positive trends in customer loyalty and engagement.
Strategic Focus: We believe our growth in fiscal twenty twenty five and beyond will benefit from our close alignment with consumer trends, strong customer engagement through our NPower rewards program, expansion of the Natural Grocers brand products, new store development and driving existing store productivity.
Competitive Pressures: Natural Grocers faces competitive pressures from other grocery retailers, particularly in terms of operating margins, as competitors like Sprouts have higher margins. The company emphasizes its commitment to affordable pricing, which may impact margin expansion.
Regulatory Issues: There is uncertainty regarding the potential impact of tariffs on product costs, which could affect pricing and margins.
Supply Chain Challenges: The company acknowledges the potential for supply chain disruptions, particularly related to the timing of payments for goods and services, which can impact cash flow.
Economic Factors: The company anticipates modest inflation throughout the year, which could affect consumer spending and overall sales growth.
Store Development Risks: Natural Grocers plans to open four to six new stores, but there is uncertainty regarding the ability to increase this number due to market conditions and operational capacity.
NPower Rewards Program: Net sales penetration of the NPower rewards program was 81%, up from 78% a year ago, indicating strong customer loyalty and engagement.
Natural Grocers Brand Products: Natural Grocers brand products accounted for 8.9% of total sales, up from 8.5% a year ago, supported by the launch of 23 new items.
Store Development: Plans to open 4 to 6 new stores and relocate or remodel 2 to 4 stores during fiscal year 2025.
Sustainability Initiatives: Released fiscal year 2024 sustainability report, emphasizing commitment to quality products, nutrition education, and community care.
Daily Average Comparable Store Sales Growth: Revised outlook for daily average comparable store sales growth between 5% to 7%, up from 4% to 6%.
Diluted Earnings Per Share: Projected diluted earnings per share between $1.57 and $1.65, increased from prior outlook of $1.52 to $1.60.
Capital Expenditures: Estimated capital expenditures of $36 million to $44 million to support growth initiatives.
Gross Margin Expectations: Expect year-over-year gross margin to be relatively flat.
Store Expenses: Anticipate year-over-year store expenses as a percentage of sales to be relatively flat to slightly lower.
Diluted Earnings Per Share: Increased 26.5% to $0.43 in the first quarter.
Capital Expenditures: $36,000,000 to $44,000,000 planned to support growth initiatives.
New Store Openings: Plan to open 4 to 6 new stores during fiscal year 2025.
Store Relocations or Remodels: Plan to relocate or remodel 2 to 4 stores during fiscal year 2025.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with increased sales, EPS, and adjusted EBITDA. Despite some margin pressure and economic challenges, optimistic guidance and a 25% dividend increase suggest confidence in future growth. The Q&A section highlights strategic differentiation and resilience among core customers, which should mitigate concerns. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, predicting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance, with increased sales, improved margins, and raised guidance for sales growth and earnings per share. Despite a cybersecurity incident and new store delays, the company has demonstrated resilience and operational efficiency. The positive adjustments in fiscal guidance and store expansion plans for 2026 further support a positive outlook. However, increased administrative expenses and economic uncertainties pose some risks. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with significant growth in net sales, operating income, and EPS. The company raised its sales growth and EPS guidance, indicating confidence in future performance. The Q&A section revealed steady consumer engagement and expansion plans into new markets. Although there are economic uncertainties and competitive pressures, the overall sentiment is positive. No share repurchase program is a slight negative, but the strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance outweigh this, leading to a positive prediction for stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with increased net sales, EPS, and operating income. Positive indicators include improved store sales growth outlook and consistent customer engagement. The Q&A section shows some uncertainty around margins due to tariffs and competitive pricing, but overall sentiment remains positive due to strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance. The lack of a market cap suggests a potential for stronger stock movement, but the absence of a new partnership or major negative factors supports a prediction of a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
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