The chart below shows how MSCI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MSCI sees a +0.44% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.88% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.25%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Organic Revenue Growth Achievement: Achieved organic revenue growth of almost 10% for the full year 2024, demonstrating strong market demand and operational efficiency.
Earnings Per Share Growth: Reported adjusted earnings per share growth of 12.4%, reflecting improved profitability and effective cost management strategies.
Free Cash Flow Growth: Generated free cash flow growth of 21%, indicating robust cash generation capabilities and financial health.
Organic Subscription Growth: In Q4, organic subscription run rate growth reached 8%, excluding FX headwinds, showcasing strong client retention and demand for services.
Share Repurchase Commitment: Repurchased $810 million worth of MSCI shares for the full year, reinforcing commitment to shareholder value and capital allocation strategy.
Negative
Subscription Growth Slowdown: Organic subscription run rate growth was only 8% in Q4 2024, indicating a slowdown compared to historical growth rates, which raises concerns about future growth potential.
Active Asset Manager Retention: The retention rate for active asset managers was reported at 94%, which is lower than the previous quarters, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining client relationships in this segment.
Subscription Growth Decline: There was a noted decline in subscription run rate growth in the Analytics segment, dropping to 6.7% in Q4 2024, attributed to timing issues with implementation-related revenues, indicating potential revenue instability.
Subscription Growth Challenges: The Private Capital Solutions segment experienced a slight slowdown in subscription run rate growth, with retention rates declining, reflecting volatility in client demand and potential challenges in this area.
Real Assets Market Pressures: In the Real Assets segment, elevated cancellations were reported, particularly among developers and brokers, indicating ongoing pressures in this market and potential revenue loss.
Earnings call transcript: MSCI Q4 2024 earnings beat estimates but stock falls
MSCI.N
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