The chart below shows how MSCI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MSCI sees a +0.62% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.48% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.91%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Financial Performance: Financially, we achieved total revenue growth of 16%, adjusted earnings per share growth of 12% and free cash flow growth of 46%.
Share Repurchase Update: We repurchased $199 million worth of MSCI shares, bringing our total share repurchases for the year to $440 million.
Revenue and Retention Growth: We delivered asset-based fee revenue growth of nearly 20%, subscription run rate growth of 15% and a retention rate of 94%.
ABF Revenue Strength: In our overall performance, we show significant strength in ABF revenue driven by record AUM balances in both ETF and non-ETF products linked to MSCI indices including third quarter ETF cash flows of $18.6 billion.
Organic Subscription Growth: We saw strong organic subscription run rate growth of 11% with asset owners and hedge funds, organic subscription run rate growth was 11% and 15% respectively.
Negative
Decline in Recurring Sales: Net new recurring sales in our ESG and climate segment were down meaningfully from last year's levels.
ESG Demand Trends: We think the subdued demand in ESG and climate is cyclical and may be prolonged, but the need for all investors to integrate ESG financial materiality and to decarbonize portfolios are real and secular.
Fee Compression Challenges: Our asset management clients still face fee compression leading to tighter budgets, though there are some signs of stabilizing redemption pressures and improving inflows.
Transaction Volume Decline: We are seeing a significant drop in transaction volume, which is a major part of the revenue drivers here.
Revenue Growth Expectations: We expect revenue growth to drop to be closer to run rate growth or even in periods below that as we begin to compare to prior year periods that included large implementation related revenues.
MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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