MQ Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how MQ performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MQ sees a -3.96% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.09% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.04%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
MQ Key Earning Data
MQ Earnings Analysis
Positive
Total Process Volume Growth: Total Process Volume (TPV) reached $80 billion in Q4, a 29% increase year-over-year, demonstrating strong growth at scale.
Q4 Revenue Growth: Net revenue for Q4 was $136 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, indicating solid financial performance.
Gross Profit Increase: Gross profit for Q4 was $98 million, an 18% increase compared to the same quarter last year, resulting in a gross margin of 72%.
Record Adjusted EBITDA Margin: Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $13 million, translating to a 9% margin, marking a new all-time high for the company.
Co-Brand Credit Partnership: The company secured a consumer co-brand credit partnership with a well-established airline, showcasing its innovative payment solutions and ability to drive customer engagement.
European TPV Growth: Marqeta's European business saw TPV growth of over 100% in Q4, highlighting its expanding footprint in the region.
Global Engagement Milestone: The company signed its first multinational solution sale, indicating a growing trend of global engagement with its platform.
New Payment Network Integration: Marqeta is set to welcome the American Express network as a new option for credit and debit card programs, enhancing its platform offerings.
Acquisition Impact on Operations: The acquisition of TransactPay is expected to enhance program management capabilities in Europe, streamlining operations and expanding customer reach.
Real-Time Decisioning Revenue Surge: The real-time decisioning risk product saw revenue more than double from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong demand for innovative solutions.
Sustainable Profitable Growth: The company is focused on driving profitable growth with a trajectory that is sustainable and diversified, aiming for adjusted EBITDA margins of 9% to 10% in 2025.
Negative
Leadership Transition Concerns: Leadership transition with Simon Khalaf stepping down as CEO raises concerns about stability and direction.
TPV Growth Slowdown: Q4 TPV growth of 29% is slower than the previous quarter, indicating a potential slowdown in momentum.
Declining Revenue Growth: Net revenue growth of 14% in Q4 is a decline from previous quarters, suggesting challenges in maintaining growth rates.
Program Launch Delays: The company faced delays in launching programs, with three still pending, which could impact future revenue streams.
Net Revenue Growth Outlook: The expected net revenue growth for 2025 is only between 16% and 18%, indicating a slowdown compared to previous expectations.
Revenue Impact from Customer Shift: The anticipated lower net revenue take rate due to a shift towards Powered by Marqeta customers could negatively impact overall revenue.
Contract Renewal Challenges: The company is facing challenges with contract renewals, which may lead to lower pricing and impact revenue growth.
Net Loss Concerns: The GAAP net loss of $27 million in Q4 raises concerns about profitability despite positive adjusted EBITDA.
Regulatory Approval Delays: The acquisition of TransactPay is subject to regulatory approvals, which could delay integration and impact growth plans.
MQ FAQs
How does MQ typically perform around its earnings report dates?
MQ's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -3.96% change leading up to the report and a -6.09% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Marqeta Inc (MQ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
MQ Earning Call Sentiment
Marqeta, Inc. (MQ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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