MET Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how MET performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MET sees a -0.50% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.97% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.32%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
MET Key Earning Data
MET Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Growth Resilience: MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion or $1.96 per share, up 7% from the same period a year ago, reflecting the resilience of its business model.
Group Benefits Earnings Surge: The Group Benefits business saw adjusted earnings of $367 million, up 29% from the prior year, driven by favorable life underwriting margins due to lower mortality.
Earnings and Sales Performance: Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS) adjusted earnings totaled $401 million, with strong sales of synthetic GICs and UK longevity reinsurance, and inflows from pension risk transfers totaling $1.8 billion.
International Business Growth: MetLife's international businesses showed growth, with Asia sales up 10% and Latin America adjusted earnings up 7% on a constant currency basis, indicating strong momentum despite currency headwinds.
Shareholder Returns Strategy: The company returned approximately $1.8 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating strong capital management and commitment to returning excess capital to shareholders.
Dividend Increase Announcement: MetLife's Board of Directors increased the common dividend per share by 4.1%, reflecting confidence in the company's financial strength and flexibility.
Risk Transfer Success: The company successfully executed a significant risk transfer deal, reinsuring approximately $10 billion of U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves, which will reduce enterprise risk and lower tail risk.
Asset Management Growth Potential: MetLife Investment Management is on track to achieve $1 trillion in total assets under management, indicating growth potential in its investment management business.
Negative
Marginal Earnings Growth: Adjusted earnings were $1.3 billion, up 1% year-over-year, indicating only marginal growth despite favorable conditions.
Earnings Decline Analysis: Asia adjusted earnings were $374 million, down 12% year-over-year, primarily due to less favorable underwriting margins and higher taxes.
Latin America Earnings Decline: Latin America adjusted earnings were $218 million, down 6% year-over-year, with currency headwinds impacting reported growth rates.
Adjusted Loss Challenges: Corporate and other adjusted loss was $248 million, indicating ongoing challenges in this segment.
Net Investment Losses: The company reported net investment losses largely due to normal trading activity, reflecting volatility in the market.
Private Equity Underperformance: Private equity returns were only 1.6% in the quarter, below the implied quarterly outlook return, indicating underperformance in this area.
Tax Rate Analysis: The effective tax rate on adjusted earnings was 23.2%, modestly below the guidance range, suggesting potential tax-related challenges ahead.
Foregone Earnings Impact: The company expects foregone adjusted earnings of approximately $100 million annually from the recent risk transfer transaction, which could impact future profitability.
MET FAQs
How does MET typically perform around its earnings report dates?
MET's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -0.50% change leading up to the report and a -0.97% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is MetLife Inc (MET) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
MET Earning Call Sentiment
MetLife, Inc. (MET) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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