LZ Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how LZ performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LZ sees a +1.36% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.80% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.08%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
LZ Key Earning Data
LZ Earnings Analysis
Positive
Q1 Revenue Increase: First quarter revenue of $183 million increased 5% year-over-year, exceeding guidance.
Subscription Revenue Acceleration: Subscription revenue grew 8% year-over-year, marking the first sequential acceleration in subscription revenue growth in a year.
Strong EBITDA Performance: Adjusted EBITDA of $37 million exceeded expectations, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20%, benefiting from strong revenue performance and cost efficiencies.
Revenue Outlook Reiteration: The company is reiterating its full year revenue outlook of 5% year-over-year growth and expects double-digit subscription revenue growth by Q4.
Subscription Revenue Stability: LegalZoom's revenue mix is over 60% subscription-based, providing strong visibility and predictability into future performance.
Strong Cash Position: The company has a strong cash position of $210 million, is debt-free, and generated free cash flow of $41 million, up 67% year-over-year.
Acquisition Revenue Contribution: The acquisition of Formation Nation contributed approximately $8.6 million in revenues in Q1, enhancing overall performance.
Subscription Adoption Growth: The company is focused on driving subscription adoption and has seen a 20% increase in the number of subscriptions in Q1.
Brand Awareness Campaign: LegalZoom is launching a new brand campaign to position itself as the premier provider of online legal services, enhancing brand awareness.
AI-Driven Market Strategy: The company is investing in AI-driven search engine optimization and integrated partnerships to strengthen its market position.
Negative
Weaker Revenue Growth: First quarter revenue growth of 5% was lower than expected due to a weaker macroeconomic environment, with Census EIN applications falling 5% year-over-year.
Cautious Outlook Adjustment: The company adjusted its assumptions for Census EIN applications from flat year-over-year to down mid- to high single digits, indicating a more cautious outlook.
Limited Organic Growth: Transaction revenue only increased by 1%, primarily due to the acquisition of Formation Nation, suggesting limited organic growth.
Decline in Business Formations: Business formations decreased by 6% year-over-year, reflecting a softer business formations macro and a focus on quality share acquisition.
Order Value Decline: Average order value decreased by 1% to $196, indicating potential pricing pressure or a shift towards lower-priced offerings.
ARPU Decline Impact: ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) declined by 7% to $252, driven by a mix shift towards lower-priced subscription offerings, which could impact overall revenue growth.
Regulatory Impact on Revenue: The elimination of BOIR filing requirements is expected to negatively impact future transaction revenues, indicating reliance on regulatory changes for revenue streams.
Subscription Revenue Concerns: The company expects lower renewal rates from initial cohorts of bundled products, which may affect future subscription revenue growth.
Share Repurchase Caution: Despite a strong cash position, the company did not repurchase any shares in the first quarter, which may signal caution in capital allocation amidst economic uncertainty.
LZ FAQs
How does LZ typically perform around its earnings report dates?
LZ's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +1.36% change leading up to the report and a +5.80% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is LegalZoom.com Inc (LZ) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
LZ Earning Call Sentiment
LegalZoom.com, Inc. (LZ) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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