The chart below shows how LEVI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LEVI sees a +1.17% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.65% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.62%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Net Revenue Increase: In Q4, net revenues increased 12% on a reported basis, with organic net revenue growth of 8%, excluding the impacts of divested businesses and foreign exchange headwinds.
Record Gross Margin Achievement: The Levi's brand achieved an all-time record gross margin of 60%, contributing to a 120 basis points adjusted EBIT margin expansion and a double-digit increase in earnings per share to $1.25 for the year.
DTC Business Growth: The global direct-to-consumer (DTC) business grew 14% in Q4, marking the 11th consecutive quarter of positive comps, with DTC representing 47% of total global net revenues, up 4 points from the previous year.
Women's Business Growth: The women's business grew 12% in Q4, with nearly $2 billion in sales for the full year, solidifying Levi's position as the number one women's denim brand in the U.S. on a 12-month basis.
Shareholder Returns Increase: For the full year, $289 million was returned to shareholders, a 45% increase from the prior year, including $199 million in dividends and $90 million in share repurchases.
Negative
Asia Operating Margin Decline: Operating margin in Asia contracted 360 basis points to 8.4% due to losses in the China business and increased spending in DTC expansion and advertising.
Revenue Decline Forecast: The company expects reported net revenues to decline by 1% to 2% in 2025, primarily due to a 250 basis point drag from foreign exchange and a 300 basis point headwind from the exit of Denizen and Footwear.
SG&A Expense Increase: Adjusted SG&A expenses increased 17% to $880 million in Q4, driven by higher sales, increased advertising costs, and distribution expenses related to the transition of distribution centers.
Tax Rate Normalization: The effective tax rate is expected to normalize at approximately 23% in 2025, reflecting the expiration of foreign tax credits that previously benefited the company.
Wholesale Channel Outlook: The wholesale channel is expected to remain flat for the full year on an organic basis, indicating cautious outlook despite recent growth.
Earnings call transcript: Levi Strauss Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock falls
LEVI.N
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