The chart below shows how KMI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, KMI sees a -2.99% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.98% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.02%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Capital Expenditures Overview: Capital expenditures for new projects exceed $5 billion, with the capacity to transport over 5 Bcf a day of natural gas, supported by long-term contracts with creditworthy customers.
Expansion Project Backlog Growth: The backlog of expansion projects has grown to $8.1 billion, with $6.3 billion in new projects secured, indicating strong future growth potential.
Net Income Increase: Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan increased by 12% year-over-year to $667 million, with adjusted EPS rising 14% to $0.32, driven by contributions from natural gas and terminal businesses.
Quarterly Dividend Increase: A quarterly dividend of $0.2875 per share was declared, representing a 2% increase from the previous year, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Positive Financial Outlook: The company expects net income growth of 8%, EBITDA growth of 4%, and adjusted EPS growth of 10% for 2025, indicating a positive outlook for financial performance.
Negative
Natural Gas Transport Stagnation: Transport volumes for the Natural Gas Business Unit were unchanged compared to Q4 2023, indicating stagnation in growth despite expectations for increased demand.
Natural Gas Volume Decline: Natural gas gathering volumes decreased by 7% in the quarter compared to Q4 2023, with full-year averages falling 8% below the 2024 plan, reflecting lower production in key regions.
Refined Products Volume Decline: Refined products volumes were down 3% for the full year compared to the plan, suggesting underperformance in this segment despite a slight increase in Q4.
Oil Production Decline: The CO2 segment reported a 3% decline in oil production volumes and a 6% decrease for the full year, indicating challenges in maintaining production levels.
EBITDA Shortfall Analysis: Q4 EBITDA was approximately $100 million below the initial quarterly budget, primarily due to lower commodity prices and reduced RNG sales, highlighting financial pressures.
Earnings call transcript: Kinder Morgan Q4 2024 misses forecasts, stock dips
KMI.N
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