H Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how H performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, H sees a +1.52% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.35% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.83%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
H Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
774.00M
-12.24%
-1.90%
Gross Margin
61.50%
22.44%
5.25%
Operating Margin
12.40%
679.87%
-12.68%
Net Margin
-7.24%
-345.42%
-112.13%
EPS
-0.58
-341.67%
-112.53%
No Data Available
H Earnings Analysis
Hyatt Hotels Corp Corporation (H.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Luxury Resort Openings: Several notable openings in Q4 2024, enhancing luxury resort and lifestyle offerings, including Park Hyatt London and Grand Hyatt Deer Valley.
Room Growth Acceleration: Organic net rooms growth is expected to accelerate in 2025, with 9,000 new rooms opened in the first 45 days of the year.
RevPAR Growth Performance: System-wide RevPAR growth of 5% for Q4 and 4.6% for the full year, indicating strong brand performance.
Leisure Revenue Increase: Leisure transient rooms revenue increased approximately 4% in Q4, with strong results for resorts in the Americas during the festive period.
Group Rooms Revenue Trends: Group rooms revenue was flat in Q4 but up 5% when adjusting for holiday timing, with a 7% increase expected for 2025.
Business Transient Revenue Increase: Business transient revenue was up 12% for the year, benefiting major urban markets in the U.S.
Hyatt Membership Milestone: World of Hyatt membership reached a record 54 million members, a 22% increase over last year, indicating strong customer engagement.
Record High Night Penetration: Multi-room night penetration set a record high, showcasing increased engagement from World of Hyatt members.
Record Gross Fees Growth: Gross fees in Q4 increased by 17%, setting a record for the highest gross fees in a quarter, driven by franchise and other fees.
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $255 million, a 20% increase compared to last year, reflecting strong operational performance.
Share Repurchase Update: The company repurchased approximately $1.2 billion in shares in 2024, with $1 billion remaining under share repurchase authorization.
Robust Liquidity Position: Strong balance sheet with total liquidity of approximately $2.9 billion, including $1.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents.
RevPAR Growth Expectations: Expecting full year 2025 system-wide RevPAR growth of 2% to 4%, driven by strong group and business transient demand.
Projected Revenue Increase: Projected gross fees for 2025 are expected to increase by 11% compared to last year, indicating continued revenue growth.
Negative
Earnings Miss Reported: Hyatt Hotels Corporation missed earnings expectations with reported EPS of $0.42, falling short of the expected $0.64.
Distribution Segment EBITDA Decline: The distribution segment adjusted EBITDA declined by approximately $4 million, attributed to lower than anticipated booking volumes and hurricane Milton.
RevPAR Stagnation in Greater China: RevPAR in Greater China was flat compared to last year, indicating stagnation in that market despite improvements in other regions.
RevPAR Growth Outlook: The company expects full year system wide RevPAR growth to be only in the range of 2% to 4% for 2025, suggesting a slowdown compared to previous growth rates.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Outlook: Adjusted free cash flow is expected to range from $450 million to $500 million, which excludes $150 million of deferred cash taxes expected to be paid in 2025, indicating potential cash flow constraints.
Europe RevPAR Outlook: The outlook for Europe indicates that year over year RevPAR growth is expected to be at the lower end of the range, as it is lapping very strong results from 2024.
H FAQs
How does H typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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H Earning Call Sentiment
Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE:H) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
H.N
-0.76%Positive
The earnings call reflects positive sentiment due to multiple strategic growth initiatives, including partnerships and acquisitions, which are expected to enhance Hyatt's brand presence and expand its portfolio. Despite a slight EPS miss, the optimistic guidance, strong RevPAR growth, and significant share repurchase program are likely to boost investor confidence. The Q&A session highlights strong growth prospects in net rooms and optimism in high-end markets, contributing to a positive outlook. The uncertainty around the Playa deal and Lindner Group insolvency is noted but does not overshadow the overall positive sentiment.
