GPRO Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how GPRO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GPRO sees a +1.83% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -4.02% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.56%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
GPRO Key Earning Data
GPRO Earnings Analysis
Positive
Product Launch Success: We hit our marks for revenue, launching new hardware and software products, and are on track to launch exciting new products later this year.
Product Launch and Market Positioning: We launched several new hardware and software products, including an updated 360-degree camera app experience and a refreshed MAX camera, positioning us to recapture share in the 360 market.
Subscription Retention Success: The GoPro subscription continues to be a highlight, with strong aggregate retention numbers above 67% over the past six quarters, and aggregate subscription retention in Q1 set a record at 70%.
Cost Management Success: Operating expenses were down 26% to $62 million from $83 million in Q1 2024, demonstrating effective cost management.
Retail Sales Growth: Revenue from our retail channel was $94 million or 70% of Q1 2025 revenue, compared to 68% of Q1 2024 revenue, indicating growth in retail sales.
Subscription Revenue Growth: Subscription and service revenue grew 4% year-over-year to $27 million, primarily from 5% ARPU growth due to improving aggregate retention rates.
EBITDA Loss Reduction: Adjusted EBITDA loss was reduced by nearly 50% year-over-year to negative $16 million, showing improvement in financial performance.
Inventory Management Success: We ended the quarter with inventory of $96 million, a 27% decrease year-over-year, reflecting effective inventory management.
Positive Revenue Outlook: We expect revenue to be $145 million at the mid-point of guidance for Q2 2025, indicating positive outlook for the next quarter.
Gross Margin Improvement: We expect gross margin in the second quarter to be 35.5%, up nearly 500 basis points versus the prior-year quarter, reflecting improved profitability.
Negative
Revenue Decline Analysis: First quarter revenue was $134 million, which was at the high-end of guidance but still represents a decline of 22% year-over-year, indicating a challenging market environment.
Decline in Sell-Through Units: Sell-through was approximately 440,000 units, down from 530,000 units in the prior-year period, primarily due to macroeconomic issues and competition in Asia-Pacific, particularly in China, Japan, and South Korea.
Gross Margin Analysis: Reported gross margin was 32.3% in Q1 2025, which is lower than the expected 35.5% due to a one-time sale that impacted gross margin negatively.
Financial Loss Analysis: GAAP and non-GAAP loss per share was $0.30 and $0.12, respectively, indicating ongoing financial challenges despite some operational improvements.
Revenue Decline Forecast: The company expects revenue in Q2 2025 to be down 22% year-over-year, reflecting continued uncertainty in the macro environment and competitive pressures.
Workforce Reduction Impact: The headcount was down 30% from the prior year, indicating significant workforce reductions that may impact operational capacity and morale.
Tariff Impact on Financials: The expected tariff impact for 2025 is approximately $8 million, which could further strain financial performance despite plans to offset it with price increases.
Future Growth Concerns: The company anticipates that units and revenue in 2025 will be lower than in 2024, primarily due to an uncertain macro environment and competition, which raises concerns about future growth.
GPRO FAQs
How does GPRO typically perform around its earnings report dates?
GPRO's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +1.83% change leading up to the report and a -4.02% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is GoPro Inc (GPRO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
GPRO Earning Call Sentiment
GoPro, Inc. (GPRO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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