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The company's financial performance is strong, with significant revenue and income growth, record free cash flow, and improved cost management. Positive production guidance, reduced costs, and substantial cash distributions further bolster sentiment. However, risks related to the merger and regulatory approvals, along with operational and economic challenges, temper the outlook slightly. The absence of analyst concerns in the Q&A supports a positive sentiment. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the risks, suggesting a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Free Cash Flow $42.6 million, 199% higher than $14.3 million in Q3 2023; increase due to significantly higher revenues from higher metal prices and sales volumes.
Cash Flow from Operations $58.2 million, a new quarterly record; driven by strong operating performance and realized metal prices.
Revenues $93.8 million, 40% increase from Q3 2023; attributed to higher volumes of metal sold and higher realized metal prices.
Net Income (LGJV) $25.7 million, up from $15.1 million in Q3 2023; increase due to higher revenues and operational performance.
Net Income (Gatos Silver) $9.9 million, approximately 200% higher than Q3 2023; driven by increased operational performance and higher equity income.
Adjusted Net Income $15.2 million compared to $3.3 million in Q3 2023; adjusted for costs associated with the proposed merger.
Basic and Diluted Earnings per Share $0.14 per share compared to $0.05 per share in Q3 2023; reflects increased net income.
Cash Balance $116.7 million at the end of Q3 2024; includes $37.9 million from cash distributions.
Cost of Sales Slight decrease despite higher sales volumes; reflects operational efficiencies.
Depreciation, Depletion, and Amortization Expense Increased by approximately 7%; due to a larger capital base but partially offset by increased mineral reserves.
Income Tax Expense $13.9 million compared to a $900,000 benefit in Q3 2023; increase due to higher taxable income.
All-in Sustaining Costs per Payable Ounce of Silver $9.61, 35% lower than Q3 2023; benefited from strong byproduct production and sales.
All-in Sustaining Costs per Payable Ounce of Silver Equivalent Just over $16, 9% lower than Q3 2023; slightly above guidance due to higher realized silver prices.
Cash Distributions to Partners $54.2 million during Q3; total distributions for the year reached $149.2 million.
Cash Flow Used in Investing Activities $15.6 million, $400,000 higher than Q3 2023; includes $12.9 million on sustaining capital expenditures.
New Mineral Reserves and Resources: On September 25, we announced new mineral reserves and resources and an updated life of mine, extending the life of mine to the end of 2032 with a milling throughput rate of 3,500 tonnes per day.
Exploration Drilling: During the third quarter, we continued our focus on exploration drilling on both near mine and other targets in the large Los Gatos district, with positive initial results at Central Deep.
Merger Agreement: On September 5, the company entered into a merger agreement with First Majestic, consolidating three world-class producing silver districts in Mexico.
Production Guidance Increase: In early October, we announced an increase to our full year 2024 production and cost guidance, expecting silver production between 9.2 million and 9.7 million ounces.
Record Cash Flow: The Los Gatos Joint Venture had record cash flow from operations of $58.2 million in Q3 2024, with free cash flow of $42.6 million.
Cost Reduction Initiatives: Site operating unit costs were approximately $97 per tonne, 8% lower than the third quarter last year, driven by continuous improvement initiatives.
Life of Mine Extension: The new plan adds 36% to the total expected silver equivalent production over the life of mine compared to last year's plan.
Operational Efficiency Improvements: We are focusing on increasing ore production from the mine through various operational improvement projects.
Merger Agreement Risks: The proposed merger with First Majestic is subject to various conditions, including regulatory approvals, which may introduce uncertainties and delays.
Operational Risks: The company is currently mine limited and must shut down the mill for maintenance, which could impact production efficiency.
Economic Factors: Inflationary pressures and the strengthening of the Mexican peso may affect operational costs and profitability.
Exploration Risks: While initial results from exploration drilling are promising, there is inherent uncertainty in resource expansion and mineralization potential.
Regulatory Risks: The merger requires Mexican antitrust approval and securities regulatory approvals, which could pose challenges.
Cost Management Risks: Despite improvements, all-in sustaining costs per payable ounce of silver were slightly above guidance, indicating potential cost management challenges.
Merger Agreement: Entered into a merger agreement with First Majestic to consolidate three silver districts in Mexico, expected to close in Q1 2025.
Exploration Initiatives: Focused on exploration drilling in the Los Gatos district, with positive initial results at Central Deep and plans to drill at Lince.
Operational Improvements: Continuing initiatives to increase ore production, including underground equipment rebuild and operational improvement projects.
Life of Mine Extension: Extended life of mine to 2032 with a milling throughput rate of 3,500 tonnes per day, increasing expected silver equivalent production by 36%.
Production Guidance: Revised full year 2024 silver production guidance to 9.2 - 9.7 million ounces, up from 8.4 - 9.2 million ounces.
Cost Guidance: Updated all-in sustaining costs for payable silver to $8.50 - $10 per ounce, down from $9.50 - $11.50.
Capital Expenditures: Sustaining capital expenditure guidance remains at $45 million for Cerro Los Gatos and $18 million for exploration and resource development.
Cash Flow Projections: Average annual after-tax free cash flow expected to be approximately $80 million at $23 silver price, increasing to $136 million at $35.
Cash Distributions to Partners Q3 2024: $54.2 million distributed to joint venture partners, with Gatos Silver receiving $37.9 million.
Total Distributions 2024: Approximately $149.2 million in total distributions made to partners this year.
Recent Distribution: An additional $40 million distribution made on November 7, 2024, with Gatos Silver's share being $28 million.
Free Cash Flow Q3 2024: $42.6 million, a new record for the Los Gatos Joint Venture.
Cash Flow from Operations Q3 2024: $58.2 million, a new quarterly record.
Cash Balance End of October 2024: $114.8 million.
Cash Balance After Recent Distribution: $116.7 million after receiving $28 million from the recent distribution.
The company's financial performance is strong, with significant revenue and income growth, record free cash flow, and improved cost management. Positive production guidance, reduced costs, and substantial cash distributions further bolster sentiment. However, risks related to the merger and regulatory approvals, along with operational and economic challenges, temper the outlook slightly. The absence of analyst concerns in the Q&A supports a positive sentiment. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the risks, suggesting a positive stock price movement in the short term.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 62% revenue increase and record cash flow. Despite some regulatory and operational risks, optimistic guidance and strategic exploration plans indicate growth potential. The positive sentiment from the Q&A, especially regarding pro-business political changes, further supports this outlook. The stock is likely to experience a positive movement over the next two weeks.
Despite a strong increase in free cash flow and dividends, concerns over rising costs, lower revenues, and operational challenges balance the positives. The Q&A session revealed management's clarity on operational goals but did not alleviate concerns about cost pressures and sales volume declines. The absence of a market cap limits the impact assessment, but the mixed financial results and operational hurdles suggest a neutral outlook.
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