FSM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how FSM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FSM sees a +2.66% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +12.33% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.14%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
FSM Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
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FSM Earnings Analysis
Fortuna Mining Corp Corporation (FSM.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Free Cash Flow Surge: Record free cash flow from operations of $19.6 million, a 69% increase versus Q3 2024.
Record Cash Flow Performance: Net cash from operations before changes in working capital was a record $142 million or $0.46 per share, beating analysts’ consensus of $0.40.
Record Sales Achievement: Surpassed $1 billion in sales for the first time in full year 2024.
Gold Price Increase: Realized a 7% higher gold price of $2,660 quarter over quarter.
Quarterly Revenue Increase: Achieved 10% higher revenue of $302 million quarter over quarter.
Operating Cash Flow Margin Expansion: Cash cost per ounce was 4% lower, leading to an expansion of operating cash flow margin from 33% to 50%.
Cash Cost Outlook 2025: Outlook for full year 2025 indicates stable to lower cash costs in the range of $895 to $1,015 per ounce.
AISC Outlook 2025: Outlook for stable to lower AISC in the range of $1,550 to $1,680 per ounce for 2025.
Debt Reduction Achievement: Reduced debt by $118 million since the completion of the Seguela mine construction in mid-2023.
Debt to Cash Transition: Moved from a net debt position of $198 million to a year-end positive net cash position of $59 million.
Cash Flow Increase: Year-end cash was $231 million, a quarter-over-quarter increase of $50 million driven by strong growth in free cash flow.
Strong Liquidity Position: Liquidity was over $381 million at year-end while maintaining a low debt leverage ratio of under 0.4.
Shareholder Return Initiatives: Returned $30.5 million to shareholders via share buybacks in Q4 and additional purchases of $1.8 million in January.
Negative
Production Level Decline: The company reported a decrease in production levels, which may impact future revenue growth.
Rising Operational Costs: There was a noted increase in operational costs, which could affect profit margins going forward.
Production Challenges and Inefficiencies: The company faced challenges in meeting production targets at some of its mines, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Debt Management Challenges: Despite strong cash flow, the company is still dealing with a significant amount of debt, which could pose risks in a fluctuating market.
Gold Price Outlook Uncertainty: The outlook for gold prices remains uncertain, which could impact future earnings and financial stability.
FSM FAQs
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FSM Earning Call Sentiment
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE:FSM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
FSM.N
-0.33%Positive
The company demonstrated strong financial performance with record sales, significant debt reduction, and robust shareholder returns. Positive net cash position and increased liquidity enhance financial stability. Despite some concerns in Q&A about exchange losses and unclear timelines, the overall outlook with stable/lower costs and continued investment in high-value projects is favorable. Given the market cap and recent achievements, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is expected.
