The chart below shows how EVGO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EVGO sees a -5.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.86% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.46%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Surprise Report: EVgo beats earnings expectations with reported EPS of $-0.11, exceeding expectations of $-0.15.
Network Throughput Growth: Customer consumption on the network continues to rise, with average daily throughput per public stall increasing by 37% year-over-year and over five-fold in three years.
Network Utilization Increase: Utilization on the network reached an industry-leading 24%, up 5% from the previous year, aligning with long-term forecasts.
Core Charging Revenue Surge: Full year revenues from the core charging business more than doubled year-over-year, with Q4 marking the ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Operational Stall Expansion: The company added a record 480 new operational stalls in Q4, contributing to over 1,200 new stalls added in the year, totaling over 4,000 operational stalls.
Loan Guarantee for Expansion: EVgo closed a $1.25 billion loan guarantee with the Department of Energy, enabling the company to triple its installed base over the next five years.
Public Network Throughput Growth: Total throughput on the public network for 2024 was 277 GWh, a 116% increase compared to the previous year, with charging network revenues growing by 110% year-over-year.
Charging Network Margin Improvement: Charging network gross margin improved to 37.6% in 2024, up from 26% in 2023, demonstrating operating leverage in the business model.
Adjusted Gross Profit Increase: Adjusted gross profit for 2024 was $75.7 million, up from $41.8 million in 2023, reflecting strong revenue growth and cost management.
Customer Account Growth: EVgo's customer accounts grew over 50% from 2023, reaching over 1.3 million accounts, providing a predictable baseload of demand.
Partnership Expansion and Launch: The company expects to expand partnerships and launch new flagship stalls in 2025, enhancing customer experience and network capacity.
Revenue Projections for 2025: EVgo anticipates total revenues in the range of $340 million to $380 million for 2025, with a target of adjusted EBITDA breakeven.
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement: EVgo reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $8.4 million in Q4 2024, although this was an improvement from a loss of $14 million in Q4 2023.
Revenue Growth vs. EBITDA Loss: Despite a 60% year-over-year revenue growth, EVgo's adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024 was still a loss of $32.5 million, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Revenue Timing Impact: The company experienced a $4 million timing issue that caused eXtend revenue to be deferred into Q1 2025, which could impact Q4 results and expectations for 2025.
Cash Flow Improvement: EVgo's cash flow from operations was still negative, with a cash use of $7.3 million in 2024, although this was an improvement from $37.1 million in 2023.
EV Sales vs. Charging Infrastructure: The company noted that the growth in EV sales has not been matched by a corresponding increase in charging infrastructure, which could hinder future growth.
Limited Federal Incentive Reliance: EVgo's reliance on federal incentives is limited, and while they expect to offset some capital expenditures with grants and incentives, the overall business model is not heavily dependent on these.
EV Market Competition Risk: The company acknowledged that the US is falling behind China in EV sales and infrastructure, which poses a competitive risk to their business model.
EVgo, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVGO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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