DSGR Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how DSGR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, DSGR sees a -1.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.51% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
DSGR Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
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DSGR Earnings Analysis
Distribution Solutions Group Inc Corporation (DSGR.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Earnings Beat Expectations: Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. beats earnings expectations with reported EPS of $0.42, exceeding expectations of $0.33.
Revenue Increase from Acquisitions: Reported revenue for fiscal 2024 reached $1.8 billion, up almost 15%, driven by strategic acquisitions over the past 24 months.
Strong Cash Generation: Adjusted free cash flow grew to $175 million, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth: DSG has doubled its revenues and generated an incremental $100 million of adjusted EBITDA in three fiscal years since the 2022 strategic merger.
Revenue Expansion Strategy: Successfully expanded revenue both organically and through five strategic acquisitions, enhancing scale and geographic footprint.
Product Expansion through Acquisitions: Acquisitions have allowed DSG to broaden its product offerings and customer engagement, particularly in safety products and test measurement services.
Strong Operational Cash Flow: Cash flows from operations exceeded $100 million before retention payments and acquisition costs, indicating strong operational performance.
Improved Market Conditions: Market conditions improved sequentially across most end markets during the second half of 2024, positioning DSG for record performance in 2025.
Sales Force Expansion Plans: Lawson Products is focusing on building a world-class sales force, with plans to increase sales reps to approximately 1,000 by the second half of 2025.
Strong Revenue Growth: Gexpro Services reported a 27.4% revenue growth in Q4, primarily from organic expansion, indicating strong operational traction.
Test and Measurement Growth: Test Equity Group showed strong sequential momentum with positive growth in test and measurement sales, chambers, and rentals.
Strong Financial Position: The company maintains a strong balance sheet with approximately $473 million in net working capital and $335 million of liquidity, supporting future growth initiatives.
Negative
Military Sales Decline: Significant decline in military sales, down over 50%, placing pressure on total sales for Lawson, not attributed to internal initiatives or market conditions.
EBITDA Margin Compression: Compression in EBITDA margins due to Salesforce transition and fewer selling days, impacting overall profitability.
EBITDA Margin Compression: The Canada branch segment's EBITDA margins were compressed due to the Source Atlantic acquisition, which had a 50 basis point impact on DSG's margin profile in Q4.
Sales Force Investment Challenges: The need for significant investment in rebuilding the sales force at Lawson, which has resulted in near-term earnings compression and is expected to take until 2026 to fully realize benefits.
HISCO Segment Challenges: Challenges in the HISCO segment with weaker sales in key supplier categories and declining average order sizes over the last two years.
Market Conditions Analysis: The overall market conditions remain choppy, with some areas showing cautionary trends in book-to-bill and revenue, particularly in the C and I segment.
DSGR FAQs
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DSGR Earning Call Sentiment
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DSGR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
DSGR.O
3.58%Positive
The earnings call shows mixed signals: strong revenue growth and improved cash flow are positive, but military sales decline, regulatory uncertainty, and integration risks are concerning. The Q&A reveals consistent margins but uncertainty about military orders and tariffs. The stock repurchase is a positive, but the GAAP loss and margin pressures offset these gains. With a market cap of $1.4 billion, the stock is likely to experience limited movement, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
