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The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive recurring revenue growth and cost reductions are offset by declining overall revenue and market penetration challenges. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism with growth areas in defense and aerospace but uncertainty in consumer electronics. The guidance for 2024 is broad, reflecting potential variability. These mixed signals suggest a neutral stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
Total Revenue $190 million in 2023, down from $209 million in 2022, reflecting macroeconomic impacts on CapEx budgets.
Recurring Revenue $65 million in 2023, up 29% year-over-year from $50 million in 2022, now representing 34% of total revenue, up from 24% in 2022.
Printed Castings Revenue $73 million in 2023, up 27% year-over-year, driven by adoption in defense and aerospace sectors.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss (Q4 2023) Negative $9.2 million, improved by $11.9 million year-over-year from negative $21.1 million in Q4 2022.
Full Year Adjusted EBITDA Loss Negative $69.1 million in 2023, improved from negative $118.4 million in 2022, reflecting cost reduction efforts.
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (Q4 2023) 34%, improved by 970 basis points year-over-year from 24.1% in Q4 2022.
Full Year Non-GAAP Gross Margin 27% in 2023, a 450 basis point improvement over 22.5% in 2022.
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses (Q4 2023) $31.6 million, down 17% year-over-year from $37.9 million in Q4 2022.
Cash Consumption from Operations (Q1 2022) $56.3 million, down 62% compared to the first quarter of 2022.
Inventory at Year-End 2023 $82.6 million, positioned to execute on expected first half demand.
ScanUp.org digital dentistry product: Signed over $32 million in total contract value in the first year, with growth compounding at over 25% quarter-over-quarter.
Flexcera Base Ultra+: Launched with gross margins approaching 70%, sold over 20 metric tons, enough for over 1 million dental products.
Printed castings business: Grew 27% in 2023 to a record $73 million, with over 80% market share and significant growth potential in global markets.
Additive Manufacturing market: Expected to grow from $18 billion to over $100 billion by 2031, with a projected 5x increase in market size.
Recurring revenue: Reached a record $65 million in 2023, representing 34% of total revenue, up from 24% in 2022.
Cost reduction measures: Announced $150 million in cumulative annualized cost reductions, with additional measures to exit underperforming business lines.
De-emphasizing photopolymer technologies: Decision to focus on more profitable product lines and exit cash-consuming businesses.
Focus on profitability: Aiming for adjusted EBITDA positive in the second half of 2024, with a commitment to cost-saving initiatives.
Competitive Pressures: The company faces competitive pressures in the Additive Manufacturing industry, particularly as it seeks to regain market share after losing access to the Stratasys channel partners, which impacted sales in the sub-$0.5 million segment.
Regulatory Issues: There are no specific regulatory issues mentioned, but the company acknowledges the impact of macroeconomic conditions on capital expenditure budgets, which may indirectly relate to regulatory environments affecting the industry.
Supply Chain Challenges: The company has experienced project delays due to higher costs of capital, which have affected new technology adoption and overall industry growth.
Economic Factors: The higher cost of capital has led to a flat growth year for the industry, impacting Desktop Metal's revenue and project timelines. The company is adjusting its strategies to navigate these economic challenges.
Cost Structure and Profitability: Desktop Metal is undergoing a restructuring to achieve profitability, having announced $150 million in annualized cost reductions. The company is de-emphasizing certain business lines that are not scaling effectively, which poses a risk to its overall growth strategy.
Market Growth Potential: While the company sees long-term growth potential in Additive Manufacturing, the current economic environment presents challenges that could delay the realization of this potential.
Cost Reduction Initiatives: Announced $150 million in cumulative annualized cost reductions, with $100 million in 1Q '23 and an additional $50 million in January '24.
Focus on Profitability: Aiming for adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second half of 2024, with a focus on cost-saving initiatives.
De-emphasizing Certain Business Lines: Intention to de-emphasize select business lines, particularly in photopolymer technologies, to streamline operations and focus on more profitable areas.
Growth in Recurring Revenue: Recurring revenue reached a record $65 million in 2023, growing 29% year-over-year, representing 34% of total revenue.
Expansion in Key Markets: Plans to expand into global markets, particularly in defense, aerospace, and healthcare sectors.
New Product Launches: Launched ScanUp.org in partnership with Align Technologies, with $32 million in total contract value in the first year.
2024 Revenue Guidance: Anticipating revenue in the range of $175 million to $215 million for 2024.
2024 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: Expecting adjusted EBITDA to be negative $30 million to negative $10 million for the full year 2024, with positive adjusted EBITDA anticipated in the second half.
Long-term Market Growth: Analysts project a 5x increase in the size of the additive manufacturing market by the end of the decade, potentially reaching over $100 billion by 2031.
Cost Reduction Initiatives: Announced $100 million in annualized cost reductions in Q1 2023, followed by an additional $50 million in January 2024, totaling $150 million in cumulative annualized reductions.
Adjusted EBITDA: Full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA loss decreased from negative $118 million in 2022 to negative $69 million in 2023. Expected to be adjusted EBITDA positive in the second half of 2024.
Recurring Revenue Growth: Recurring revenue grew by 29% year-over-year, reaching $65 million in 2023, representing 34% of total revenue.
Inventory Management: Finished the year with $82.6 million in inventory, positioned to execute on expected first half demand.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive recurring revenue growth and cost reductions are offset by declining overall revenue and market penetration challenges. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism with growth areas in defense and aerospace but uncertainty in consumer electronics. The guidance for 2024 is broad, reflecting potential variability. These mixed signals suggest a neutral stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
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