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The earnings call highlights mixed results: strong revenue growth projections for VITAS in 2025, but declining EBITDA margins in both VITAS and Roto-Rooter. Management's optimism about future margin improvements and revenue growth is offset by current financial declines and vague guidance for 2026. The Q&A session reveals concerns about elevated DSO and unclear responses on strategic improvements. Overall, these factors suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant stock price movement in the next two weeks.
VITAS net revenue $407.7 million in Q3 2025, an increase of 4.2% YoY. This was driven by a 2.5% increase in days-of-care and a geographically weighted average Medicare reimbursement rate increase of approximately 4.1%. However, revenue growth was negatively impacted by an acuity mix shift (121 basis points) and Medicare Cap and other contra revenue changes (124 basis points).
Average revenue per patient day $205.08 in Q3 2025, 298 basis points above the prior year period. This increase reflects changes in Medicare reimbursement rates and patient care dynamics.
Adjusted EBITDA for VITAS (excluding Medicare Cap) $70.4 million in Q3 2025, a decline of 3.8% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.0%, 157 basis points below the prior year period, due to admitting more hospital-based short-stay patients.
Roto-Rooter revenue Increased by 1.1% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024. Residential revenue grew by 3.4%, and commercial revenue grew by 2.8%. However, revenue from independent contractors declined by 4.7%.
Residential plumbing revenue Increased by 8.2% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024. This growth was attributed to a targeted campaign focusing on high-revenue plumbing services.
Adjusted EBITDA for Roto-Rooter $49.4 million in Q3 2025, a decrease of 12.4% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 22.7%, representing a 351 basis point decline from Q3 2024. The decline was mainly due to a $3.6 million increase in SG&A costs driven by a shift from unpaid to paid leads.
Average daily census (VITAS) 22,327 patients in Q3 2025, an increase of 2.5% YoY. Hospital-directed admissions increased by 10.4%, while nursing home admissions declined by 8.9%.
New Pinellas County location: Cleared all hurdles and is on track to open in early November 2025.
Marion County program: Opened in May 2025 and has grown to an ADC of 75 as of September 30, 2025, with projections to double to 150 by the end of 2026.
Florida Medicare Cap billing limitation: Came in slightly better than expected at $18.9 million for 2025, and management anticipates no Medicare Cap billing limitation for 2026.
Hospital-based admissions in Florida: Ratio reached 44.5% in Q3 2025, a high watermark post-pandemic, and has been above 42% for all of 2025.
Roto-Rooter revenue: Increased by 1.1% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, with residential plumbing revenue up by 8.2%.
Paid leads for Roto-Rooter: Increased by 8.6% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, offsetting a decline in natural leads.
VITAS net revenue: Increased by 4.2% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, driven by a 2.5% increase in days-of-care and a 4.1% Medicare reimbursement rate increase.
Focus on hospital-based admissions: Renewed focus on increasing hospital-based admissions to ensure long-term stability in Florida.
Targeted campaign for Roto-Rooter: Implemented a multipronged campaign to boost high-revenue plumbing services, yielding positive results.
Florida Medicare Cap billing limitation: The company faced a $18.9 million billing limitation for the Florida Medicare Cap in 2025, slightly better than the $19 million estimate. However, this remains a significant financial constraint and requires ongoing mitigation strategies to avoid future limitations.
Shift from natural to paid leads in Roto-Rooter: The decline in natural leads and increased reliance on paid leads has caused margin pressure, with SG&A costs rising by $3.6 million in the quarter. This trend, while potentially reducing competition, adds financial strain and operational challenges.
Independent contractor revenue decline in Roto-Rooter: Revenue from independent contractors declined by 4.7% in Q3 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. Smaller operations in middle-market cities face resource constraints, limiting their ability to capitalize on growth opportunities.
Roto-Rooter EBITDA margin pressure: Adjusted EBITDA margin for Roto-Rooter declined by 351 basis points compared to Q3 2024, driven by increased SG&A costs and operational inefficiencies. While some improvement was noted, margins remain below long-term expectations.
Acuity mix shift in VITAS: The shift in acuity mix negatively impacted revenue growth by 121 basis points in Q3 2025. This reflects challenges in managing patient care levels and optimizing revenue streams.
Medicare Cap impact on VITAS revenue: Medicare Cap and other contra revenue changes negatively impacted VITAS revenue growth by approximately 124 basis points in Q3 2025, highlighting ongoing financial challenges in managing regulatory constraints.
VITAS Florida Medicare Cap: Management anticipates no Medicare Cap billing limitation for the Florida program in 2026, reflecting successful mitigation strategies.
New Locations in Florida: The new Pinellas County location is on track to open in early November 2025, and the Marion County program, which opened in May 2025, is projected to double its ADC to 150 by the end of 2026.
Roto-Rooter Revenue and Margins: Management expects stabilization and a return to a predictable, sustainable growth trajectory for Roto-Rooter, despite current margins being below long-term expectations.
Guidance on Earnings Per Share: Management reiterates its guidance of $22 to $22.30 per share for 2025, excluding specific noncash and discrete items.
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The earnings call highlights mixed results: strong revenue growth projections for VITAS in 2025, but declining EBITDA margins in both VITAS and Roto-Rooter. Management's optimism about future margin improvements and revenue growth is offset by current financial declines and vague guidance for 2026. The Q&A session reveals concerns about elevated DSO and unclear responses on strategic improvements. Overall, these factors suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant stock price movement in the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive elements include VITAS's revenue growth and strategic acquisitions, while negative aspects involve declining Roto-Rooter EBITDA and margin concerns. The Q&A session revealed management's efforts to address issues but also highlighted uncertainties, particularly with Roto-Rooter and VITAS admissions. The lack of detailed guidance and unclear responses create uncertainty, balancing the positive impact of share buybacks and strategic focus. Overall, the sentiment is neutral as the positive and negative factors counterbalance each other, leading to an expected stock price movement within the -2% to 2% range.
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