The chart below shows how CGNX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CGNX sees a +0.39% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.20% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.00%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Revenue Growth Analysis: Revenue grew 19% year-on-year or 7% excluding the contribution of our Moritex acquisition, led by continued momentum in logistics and semiconductor.
EBITDA Margin Performance: Adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.6% in Q3, in line with the midpoint of our guidance range and up slightly from 17.4% a year ago.
Q3 Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow in Q3 was $52 million, our highest quarterly total since Q4 of 2022, compared to $35 million the previous year.
AI-Driven 3D Innovation: We launched an excellent product, the first product ever to bring AI to 3D, an industrial 3D system, in April.
Q4 Revenue Expectations: We expect revenue between $210 million and $230 million for Q4, reflecting the challenging but stable backdrop we are operating against.
Negative
Organic Growth Slowdown: Revenue growth was only 7% excluding the contribution of Moritex, indicating a slowdown in organic growth.
Gross Margin Decline: Adjusted gross margin decreased to 68.7%, down 4 percentage points from 72.7% a year ago, reflecting competitive pricing pressure.
Rising Operating Expenses: Adjusted operating expenses increased by 10% year-on-year, indicating rising costs despite efforts to manage expenses tightly.
Automotive Revenue Decline: The automotive segment saw revenue decline both year-on-year and sequentially, highlighting challenges in that market.
Early Sales Initiatives Progress: Emerging customer sales initiatives are still in early stages, with only $1 million per week in sales, indicating limited traction.
Cognex Corporation (CGNX) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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