The chart below shows how CFG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CFG sees a -3.78% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.48% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.43%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
NII Growth and NIM Expansion: Sequential NII growth of 3% driven by 10 basis points of NIM expansion, reflecting strong revenue growth.
Fee Growth Analysis: Fees increased by 6% sequentially, led by capital markets and mortgage activities, indicating robust performance in these segments.
Effective Cost Management: Positive operating leverage of around 50 basis points achieved despite a 3.5% increase in expenses, showcasing effective cost management.
Share Repurchase Summary: Share repurchases totaled $225 million in the quarter, bringing the full-year total to $1.05 billion, representing 6% of the beginning of year balance.
Deposit and Loan Growth: The private bank reached $7 billion in deposits and $3.1 billion in loans, contributing positively to earnings and demonstrating strong customer growth.
Negative
Decline in Net Interest Income: Loan volumes were lower than expected, resulting in a 9.7% decline in net interest income for the full year, with a full-year margin of only 2.85%.
Loan Portfolio Decline: Average loans decreased slightly, with period-end loans down 1.7% linked-quarter, reflecting a non-core portfolio runoff of approximately $900 million and a decline in commercial loans due to low client demand.
Rising Operational Costs: Expenses increased by 3.5% linked-quarter, primarily due to hiring for the private bank and private wealth, indicating rising operational costs amidst subdued revenue growth.
Credit Loss Provision Increase: The provision for credit losses was increased by $162 million against $189 million in charge-offs, reflecting ongoing concerns about credit quality despite a slight improvement in non-accrual loans.
Credit Loss Allowance Increase: The overall allowance for credit losses increased slightly to 1.62%, indicating a cautious approach to potential future credit losses amidst a challenging economic environment.
Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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