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CERT Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Certara Inc(CERT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Certara Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-06After Hours0.060.09+50.00104.57M104.62M+0.04-23.07-26.53
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours0.060.07+16.67104.08M104.57M+0.47+18.15+12.80
FY2025Q12025-05-05After Hours0.090.14+55.56104.89M106.00M+1.06-11.03-6.26
FY2024Q42025-02-26After Hours0.090.15+66.6799.13M100.36M+1.24+0.57-3.41
FY2024Q22024-08-06-0.070.02-71.4396.01M93.31M-2.81+1.14-19.45
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.070.06-14.2993.63M96.65M+3.23+0.11-5.61
FY2023Q42024-02-29-0.090.05-44.4486.68M88.01M+1.54-0.59+12.19
FY2023Q32023-11-08-0.080.06-25.0086.25M85.58M-0.78-0.79+15.18
FY2023Q22023-08-09-0.080.10+25.0092.18M90.45M-1.88-2.56-8.10
-2023-03-01-0.100.13+30.00---+1.77+16.89
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CERT Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Certara Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of 0.09, compared to analyst estimates of 0.06 by 50.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 104.62M compared to expectations of 104.57M by 0.04% .
The stock price reacted with a -23.07% one-day change and a -26.53% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Certara Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CERT Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Certara Inc(CERT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 103.67M and an EPS of 0.10.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.78%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 2.59%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.11% . These revisions correlate with a -9.03% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Certara Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CERT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.78%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+2.59%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.11%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-9.03%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:418.42M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.44
—
Stock Price9.57
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Financial AI Agent

CERT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Certara Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.09 (Actual) vs.0.06 (Estimate) (50.00%)
Revenue: 104.62M (Actual) vs. 104.57M (Estimate) (0.04%)
Price Reaction: -23.07%(1-Day), -26.53%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.07 (Actual) vs.0.06 (Estimate) (16.67%)
Revenue: 104.57M (Actual) vs. 104.08M (Estimate) (0.47%)
Price Reaction: 18.15%(1-Day), 12.80%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.14 (Actual) vs.0.09 (Estimate) (55.56%)
Revenue: 106.00M (Actual) vs. 104.89M (Estimate) (1.06%)
Price Reaction: -11.03%(1-Day), -6.26%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CERT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CERT sees a +7.03% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.53% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.89%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -23.07% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -28.75% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Certara Inc (CERT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-06
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance, with positive EPS growth and a solid cash position. Despite some deceleration in Tier 1 services, the company is optimistic about CertaraIQ's launch and future growth in software sales, driven by AI integration and market demand. The Q&A session highlighted productivity improvements and a favorable software mix, boosting gross margins. While guidance for services is cautious, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strategic R&D investments and exposure to growing markets. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, aligning with a 'Positive' rating.
Certara Inc (CERT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-06
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance, with improved net loss and cash reserves, and positive guidance on revenue and EBITDA margins. The Q&A section reveals confidence in software renewals and the potential of AI MIDD platform. Despite some unclear responses, the market opportunity in NAMs and regulatory support are positive drivers. The market cap suggests moderate stock sensitivity, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
Certara Inc (CERT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with 10% revenue growth and significant improvements in net income and EPS. The $100 million share repurchase authorization signals confidence in long-term growth, positively impacting shareholder sentiment. Despite regulatory and economic headwinds, the company shows resilience, with strategic investments in R&D and biosimulation. The Q&A section reveals optimism about FDA developments, although some uncertainty remains. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to experience a moderate positive reaction, falling within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
Certara Inc (CERT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call summary provides a mixed picture. While financial performance shows growth, the guidance is weaker, and there are regulatory and competitive pressures. The Q&A highlights interest in new products but lacks clarity on financial impacts. The $100 million share repurchase is positive, but market conditions and customer demand softness temper expectations. Considering the company's market cap, the stock is likely to remain stable, with a neutral prediction in the -2% to 2% range.
Certara Inc (CERT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-26
Despite strong financial performance and optimistic guidance, concerns about cautious spending, elongated decision timelines, and regulatory challenges balance the sentiment. The lack of a share repurchase program and integration challenges further weigh on the outlook. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors, resulting in a neutral prediction.
Certara, Inc. (CERT) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial metrics with a year-over-year increase in revenue and adjusted EBITDA. However, the guidance is lower than expected due to market volatility, and there is no share repurchase program. The Q&A highlights some uncertainties, particularly around the integration of Chemaxon and the regulatory services business. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with balanced positive and negative factors affecting the stock price.
Certara, Inc. (CERT) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-06
Basic Financial Performance is mixed with modest revenue growth but increased losses. Product Development and Business Update show potential in software but face challenges in services. Market Strategy is cautious with cost optimizations. Expenses and Financial Health are concerning due to rising costs and net loss. Shareholder Return Plan lacks initiatives. Q&A reveals cautious optimism but highlights uncertainties. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with small positive aspects in software and Tier 3 customers, but offset by Tier 1 challenges and lack of shareholder return actions.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CERT’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

CERT reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 104.62M against an estimate of 104.57M, resulting in a 0.04% surprise. The EPS was 0.09, surpassing the expected 0.06 by 50% . The stock experienced a -23.07% price change on the earnings day and a -26.53% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CERT’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following CERT’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by -23.07% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -26.53% change. Historically, CERT’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +7.03% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -2.53% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CERT for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate CERT’s annual revenue to reach 103.67M, while the EPS is projected at 0.10. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.78% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3.11% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does CERT’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between CERT’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.78%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3.11% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from CERT’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, CERT’s stock price typically moves by +7.03% in the 10 days before its earnings and -2.53% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.10 and revenue of 103.67M.
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What is the sentiment in Certara Inc (CERT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call revealed strong financial performance, with positive EPS growth and a solid cash position. Despite some deceleration in Tier 1 services, the company is optimistic about CertaraIQ's launch and future growth in software sales, driven by AI integration and market demand. The Q&A session highlighted productivity improvements and a favorable software mix, boosting gross margins. While guidance for services is cautious, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strategic R&D investments and exposure to growing markets. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, aligning with a 'Positive' rating.
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