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The earnings call highlights strong year-over-year revenue growth for TARPEYO, despite a temporary revenue delay due to a cyberattack. The cash position remains healthy, and there are promising developments like FDA approval, expansion into China, and patent protection until 2043. The Q&A indicates positive expectations for KDIGO guidelines and EMA approval for Kinpeygo, which could expand the market. However, increased operating losses and management's lack of specific enrollment data are concerns. Given the market cap, the positive elements are likely to outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
Net Revenues SEK295.5 million, an increase of 54.4% from SEK191.3 million in the same quarter last year.
TARPEYO Net Product Sales SEK278.3 million ($26.8 million), a reported increase of 50% from the same quarter previous year. The increase was impacted by a cyberattack on Change Health, which had an estimated negative impact of approximately $4.7 million.
Total Operating Expenses SEK485.3 million, compared to SEK362.4 million for the same quarter last year, reflecting an increase due to investments in sales and marketing for TARPEYO.
R&D Costs SEK150.6 million, an increase from SEK126.7 million in the same quarter last year, primarily related to ongoing clinical trials.
Sales and Marketing Costs SEK240.1 million, an increase from SEK167.2 million in the same quarter last year, due to efforts to leverage the market opportunity for TARPEYO's full approval.
Operating Loss SEK203.8 million, compared to a loss of SEK180.1 million for the same quarter last year.
Cash Flow Used in Operating Activities SEK198.2 million, compared to SEK31.9 million for the same quarter last year.
Net Decrease in Cash SEK207.5 million, with a healthy cash position of SEK810.3 million at the end of the quarter.
New Product Launch: Full approval of TARPEYO with new indication for reduction of loss of kidney function introduced to nephrologists in the US. Approval of Nefecon in Singapore, branded as Nefigan.
New Product Patent: USPTO issued a new patent covering TARPEYO, expiring in 2043.
Clinical Trial Results: Positive readout of Phase II trial for Setanaxib in head-and-neck cancer, showing statistically significant benefits.
Market Expansion: Commercial launch of Nefecon in China by Everest Medicines. Strong demand for TARPEYO with 705 new enrollments and 354 new prescribers in Q1 2024.
Market Access: United Healthcare updated their policy in May 2024 to facilitate access for TARPEYO.
Operational Efficiency: Cyber-attack on Change Health impacted revenues by approximately $4.7 million, but revenues are expected to roll forward. Strong start to Q2 with net product revenues of approximately $25.5 million.
Strategic Shift: Focus on expanding promotional efforts and scientific exchanges following TARPEYO's full approval. Engagement with payers to reflect new label and improve market access.
Cyberattack Impact: A cyber-attack on Change Health, a claims processing provider, negatively impacted revenues by approximately $4.7 million in Q1 2024.
Regulatory Risks: The company is awaiting updates from the EMA regarding potential full approval of Kinpeygo, which could affect market access and sales.
Market Access Challenges: The company is actively engaging with US payers to update their policies in line with the new label for TARPEYO, which may take time and could affect access.
Economic Factors: The company noted a lighter revenue quarter due to seasonal changes and the open enrollment period in the US, which could affect sales.
R&D Cost Variability: R&D costs may fluctuate due to multiple ongoing trials, which could impact financial stability.
Competitive Pressures: The company faces competition in the rare disease market, which may affect its market share and pricing strategies.
New Leadership Appointment: Appointment of Maria Tornsen as President of North America, bringing over 10 years of rare disease experience.
Product Launch and Marketing: Full approval of TARPEYO in December 2023, with new marketing materials rolled out in February 2024.
Patent Protection: New patent covering TARPEYO issued by USPTO, expiring in 2043.
Orphan Exclusivity: FDA granted seven years of orphan exclusivity for TARPEYO's new indication, expiring in December 2030.
International Expansion: Approval of Nefecon in Singapore, branded as Nefigan.
Clinical Trials: Positive readout from Phase II trial in head-and-neck cancer, with plans for further data releases in 2024.
Revenue Expectations: Total net sales estimate for 2024 remains unchanged at between $150 million to $180 million.
Q2 Revenue Outlook: Net product revenues quarter-to-date of approximately $25.5 million, with strong growth expected.
R&D Cost Expectations: R&D costs for the year expected to be broadly in-line with the previous year.
Market Access: Anticipation of updates to payer policies mid-2024 to facilitate access for TARPEYO.
Shareholder Return Plan: The company has not announced any specific share buyback program or dividend program during the call.
The earnings call highlights strong year-over-year revenue growth for TARPEYO, despite a temporary revenue delay due to a cyberattack. The cash position remains healthy, and there are promising developments like FDA approval, expansion into China, and patent protection until 2043. The Q&A indicates positive expectations for KDIGO guidelines and EMA approval for Kinpeygo, which could expand the market. However, increased operating losses and management's lack of specific enrollment data are concerns. Given the market cap, the positive elements are likely to outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
The earnings call showed strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with a 50% increase in net revenues driven by TARPEYO sales and partnerships. Although expenses increased, they were due to strategic investments. The Q&A highlighted potential short-term challenges but provided optimistic guidance for 2024, suggesting resolution of market access issues. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to news, and the positive revenue growth and guidance outweigh the concerns, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
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