Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Cheesecake Factory Inc(CAKE) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Cheesecake Factory Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Surprise Analysis
| - | 2025-10-28 | After Hours | 0.60 | 0.68 | +13.33 | 912.62M | 907.23M | -0.59 | -7.25 | -12.61 |
| - | 2025-07-29 | After Hours | 1.06 | 1.16 | +9.43 | 947.31M | 955.83M | +0.90 | +5.21 | -0.93 |
| - | 2025-04-30 | After Hours | 0.81 | 0.93 | +14.81 | 925.71M | 927.20M | +0.16 | -4.39 | -1.73 |
| - | 2025-02-19 | After Hours | 0.92 | 1.04 | +13.04 | 912.88M | 920.96M | +0.89 | +1.25 | -1.18 |
| - | 2024-10-29 | After Hours | 0.47 | 0.58 | +23.40 | 866.12M | 865.47M | -0.08 | +8.82 | +9.03 |
| - | 2024-07-31 | - | 1.00 | 1.09 | +9.00 | 909.17M | 904.04M | -0.56 | -0.08 | -10.74 |
| - | 2024-05-08 | - | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.87 | 889.95M | 891.22M | +0.14 | -0.15 | +17.64 |
| - | 2024-02-21 | - | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.11 | 876.18M | 877.01M | +0.10 | -1.52 | +2.07 |
| - | 2023-11-01 | - | 0.42 | 0.39 | -7.14 | 842.28M | 830.21M | -1.43 | -0.68 | -1.03 |
| - | 2023-08-02 | - | 0.81 | 0.88 | +8.64 | 879.85M | 866.17M | -1.55 | +1.42 | -0.42 |
CAKE Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Cheesecake Factory Inc reported performance for , announced on 2025-10-28. The company achieved an EPS of 0.68, compared to analyst estimates of 0.60 by 13.33% . Revenue for the quarter reached 907.23M compared to expectations of 912.62M by -0.59% .
The stock price reacted with a -7.25% one-day change and a -12.61% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Cheesecake Factory Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
CAKE Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Cheesecake Factory Inc(CAKE) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for project quarter revenue of and an EPS of .
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.67%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.65%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -2.08% . These revisions correlate with a -21.19% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Cheesecake Factory Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between CAKE's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.67%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.65%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-2.08%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-21.19%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.74B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.76
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Stock Price47.78
CAKE Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Cheesecake Factory Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
(2025-10-28,After Hours):
EPS: 0.68 (Actual) vs.0.60 (Estimate) (13.33%)
Revenue: 907.23M (Actual) vs. 912.62M (Estimate) (-0.59%)
Price Reaction: -7.25%(1-Day), -12.61%(5-Day)
(2025-07-29,After Hours):
EPS: 1.16 (Actual) vs.1.06 (Estimate) (9.43%)
Revenue: 955.83M (Actual) vs. 947.31M (Estimate) (0.90%)
Price Reaction: 5.21%(1-Day), -0.93%(5-Day)
(2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: 0.93 (Actual) vs.0.81 (Estimate) (14.81%)
Revenue: 927.20M (Actual) vs. 925.71M (Estimate) (0.16%)
Price Reaction: -4.39%(1-Day), -1.73%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CAKE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CAKE sees a -0.10% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.13% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.01%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -7.25% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -15.57% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-30
The earnings call indicates stable financial performance with strong EPS growth and improved margins. Shareholder returns are substantial, and revenue guidance aligns with expectations. The Q&A reveals some macroeconomic concerns and unclear management responses, but the overall sentiment remains positive. The stock's market cap suggests a moderate reaction, supporting a positive outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-20
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with record high restaurant margins and improved net income margins. Revenue guidance was slightly raised, and new unit openings exceeded expectations. The Q&A highlighted strong sales drivers and positive impacts from the rewards program. Despite some areas of uncertainty, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strategic growth and shareholder returns. Given the company's market cap, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is likely over the next two weeks.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-30
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with revenue and net income margin exceeding guidance. Positive trends in sales and margin improvements across various brands suggest operational effectiveness. The Q&A highlights stability in staff and strategic marketing success, along with a promising outlook for unit development and advanced bookings. While there are risks with new restaurant openings, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and shareholder returns, despite some uncertainty in strategic decisions. With a market cap of $2 billion, the stock is likely to see a positive movement (2% to 8%).
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record-high margins and positive sales growth across most segments. Despite a slight traffic decline, the company maintains its guidance and expresses optimism about achieving pre-pandemic margin levels. Shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks are positive, and management remains confident in their growth strategy. The Q&A reveals no major concerns, with management addressing potential risks adequately. Overall, the market is likely to react positively, especially given the company's small-cap status, leading to a projected stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
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