BTU Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how BTU performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BTU sees a +3.60% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.26% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
BTU Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.12B
-9.06%
3.23%
Gross Margin
6.28%
-72.30%
-55.59%
Operating Margin
3.03%
-84.87%
-72.60%
Net Margin
3.41%
-78.83%
-67.02%
EPS
0.31
-76.34%
-56.94%
No Data Available
BTU Earnings Analysis
Peabody Energy Corp Corporation (BTU.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Operating Cash Flow Summary: Peabody Energy Corporation generated $121 million of operating cash flow from continuing operations in Q4 2024, contributing to a full-year operating cash flow of $613 million.
Shareholder Return Program: The company returned $221 million to shareholders in 2024 through share repurchases and dividends, marking a total of $600 million returned since restarting the shareholder return program.
Seaborne Thermal Performance: In Q4 2024, the Seaborne Thermal segment reported $112 million of adjusted EBITDA on margins of 36%, with shipments exceeding expectations due to higher production at Wambo Underground.
Seaborne Met Segment Performance: The Seaborne Met segment achieved $243 million of adjusted EBITDA for the full year, with shipments increasing by 400,000 tons year-over-year to 7.3 million tons, despite challenging market prices.
Centurion Mine Production Outlook: Peabody Energy Corporation's Centurion mine shipped its first coal to market in Q4 2024, with projections of 3.5 million tons of longwall production expected in 2026, indicating strong future growth potential.
Negative
Earnings Miss Report: Peabody Energy Corporation misses on earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $0.3 compared to the expected $0.53.
Seaborne Met Segment Performance: The Seaborne Met segment reported only $23 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q4, with average realized prices down about $21 per ton compared to the previous quarter.
Metallurgical Coal Price Decline: The average realized price for metallurgical coal decreased by $44 per ton for the full year, negatively impacting the Seaborne Met segment's overall performance.
Production Shortfall Due to Geology: Production at the Twenty Mile mine was 200,000 tons less than expected due to geological challenges, which hindered operational efficiency and output.
Noncash Charge Impact: A $41 million noncash charge was recorded for the remeasurement of the Australian balance sheet at year-end, significantly impacting Q4 EBITDA.
BTU FAQs
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BTU Earning Call Sentiment
Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
BTU.N
-5%Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial metrics with stable costs and increased production volumes, which are positive. However, the Q&A section reveals uncertainties, such as potential impacts from tariffs, regulatory approvals, and unclear management responses on asset sales and mine reopening. These mixed signals, combined with a stable market cap of $2.7 billion, suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks, likely staying within a -2% to 2% range.
