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AXTA Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd(AXTA) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-28Pre-Market0.64--1.30B1.29B-1.19+2.20-2.03
FY2025Q22025-07-30Pre-Market0.610.64+4.921.32B1.31B-1.10-0.10-2.16
FY2025Q12025-05-07Pre-Market0.540.59+9.261.29B1.26B-2.13-4.75-1.71
FY2024Q42025-02-04Pre-Market0.510.60+17.651.31B1.31B+0.43+8.26+6.98
FY2024Q32024-10-30Pre-Market0.510.59+15.691.32B1.32B-0.28+8.22+8.50
FY2024Q22024-08-01-0.510.57+11.761.34B1.35B+0.91+2.78-6.20
FY2024Q12024-05-01-0.400.48+20.001.29B1.29B+0.06+8.81+15.08
FY2023Q32023-11-01-0.380.45+18.421.30B1.31B+0.91+8.08+10.71
FY2023Q22023-08-01-0.390.35-10.261.34B1.29B-3.48+0.63-8.28
-2023-05-02-0.310.35+12.90----1.39-3.23
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AXTA Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-28. The company achieved an EPS of , compared to analyst estimates of 0.64 by % . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.29B compared to expectations of 1.30B by -1.19% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.20% one-day change and a -2.03% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Axalta Coating Systems Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

AXTA Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd(AXTA) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.27B and an EPS of 0.61.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -1.75%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.33%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -5.25% . These revisions correlate with a -8.05% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Axalta Coating Systems Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between AXTA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.75%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.33%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-5.25%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-8.05%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.12B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.50
—
Stock Price29.26
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AXTA Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-28,Pre-Market):
EPS: (Actual) vs.0.64 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 1.29B (Actual) vs. 1.30B (Estimate) (-1.19%)
Price Reaction: 2.20%(1-Day), -2.03%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.64 (Actual) vs.0.61 (Estimate) (4.92%)
Revenue: 1.31B (Actual) vs. 1.32B (Estimate) (-1.10%)
Price Reaction: -0.10%(1-Day), -2.16%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.59 (Actual) vs.0.54 (Estimate) (9.26%)
Revenue: 1.26B (Actual) vs. 1.29B (Estimate) (-2.13%)
Price Reaction: -4.75%(1-Day), -1.71%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AXTA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AXTA sees a -2.27% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.25% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.74% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.36% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-28
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: while there are positive aspects like structural cost reductions and potential market share gains, challenges such as declining revenue expectations and muted market environments persist. The Q&A highlights cautious optimism with strategic pivots but no immediate catalysts for a strong positive shift. The company's focus on share repurchases and cost management suggests a stable outlook, but not enough to significantly impact stock price in the short term. Given these factors, a neutral sentiment is appropriate for the stock's two-week outlook.
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-30
The overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics, cost improvements, and optimistic guidance. Although there are some concerns about weak Refinish performance and lack of structural portfolio changes, the company's achievements in cost improvements, new body shop wins, and technology deployment are promising. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in future growth, especially with new strategic plans and acquisitions. Despite some challenges, the projected record Q3 and strong execution in various segments indicate a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While the company achieved record Adjusted EBITDA and margin expansion, net sales declined due to macroeconomic pressures and foreign currency impacts. The strategic partnership with Dürr and acquisition of CoverFlexx are positives, but declining volumes in key segments and lack of a share repurchase program are concerns. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in mitigating tariff impacts and potential market stabilization, but vague responses on Refinish volumes and tariff timelines add uncertainty. Overall, the sentiment is neutral given the balance of positive and negative factors.
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-05
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record EBITDA and EPS, positive guidance, and strategic growth initiatives. Despite some demand weaknesses, the company has a robust share repurchase program and successful M&A activities. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in overcoming challenges and leveraging opportunities, with analysts showing a generally positive sentiment. The company's strategic partnerships and transformation initiatives further support a positive outlook, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-30
The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance, with record EBITDA and improved margins. The acquisition of CoverFlexx and a $700 million share repurchase program are positive catalysts. While there are concerns about commodity price volatility and unclear responses on growth contributions, the overall outlook is optimistic with raised guidance and a strong cash position. The Q&A highlighted growth potential in China and LATAM, and strategic positioning for future growth. Despite some uncertainties, the positive elements outweigh the negative, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with a 4% increase in net sales and a 28% rise in adjusted EBITDA. The company has improved margins and increased free cash flow guidance. Despite some competitive pressures and economic uncertainties, guidance remains optimistic, with a focus on growth and strategic acquisitions. Share repurchases indicate confidence in equity value. The Q&A section highlights market expansion and effective cost management. Overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic initiatives suggest a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of AXTA’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

AXTA reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-28, showcasing a revenue of 1.29B against an estimate of 1.30B, resulting in a -1.19% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.64 by 0% . The stock experienced a 2.2% price change on the earnings day and a -2.03% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did AXTA’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following AXTA’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-28, the stock price moved by 2.20% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.03% change. Historically, AXTA’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.27% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.25% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AXTA for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AXTA’s annual revenue to reach 1.27B, while the EPS is projected at 0.61. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.75% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -5.25% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does AXTA’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between AXTA’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -1.75%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -5.25% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from AXTA’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, AXTA’s stock price typically moves by -2.27% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.25% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.61 and revenue of 1.27B.
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What is the sentiment in Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals mixed signals: while there are positive aspects like structural cost reductions and potential market share gains, challenges such as declining revenue expectations and muted market environments persist. The Q&A highlights cautious optimism with strategic pivots but no immediate catalysts for a strong positive shift. The company's focus on share repurchases and cost management suggests a stable outlook, but not enough to significantly impact stock price in the short term. Given these factors, a neutral sentiment is appropriate for the stock's two-week outlook.
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