Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AVTX has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
AVTX stock price ended at $4.06 on Friday, after losing-6.67%
The Avalo Therapeutics Inc stock price decreased by -6.67% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), dropping from 4.35 to 4.06. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 8.37% , ranging from a day low of $4.06 to a day high of 4.4. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -15.06% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -6.34K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 35.99K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 152.15K.
AVTX Technical Signals
AVTX(Avalo Therapeutics Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-30. The total price change during this trend is -18.47%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of AVTX over the last 5 trading days is 300.00K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
AVTX Moving Average Analysis
Avalo Therapeutics Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, May 11, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.629713333333333, and $6.168333333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $3.8869533333333326, and $3.3483333333333327. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
AVTX Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Avalo Therapeutics Inc(AVTX) as of 09 May 2025 is 25.07%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 4.35 to 4.06. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Neutral
Sell
4
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 < 30
29.112
Bullish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
12.626
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-198.526
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
18.672
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-100
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.134
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.72
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.494
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
4.06
Bearish
AVTX Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Avalo Therapeutics Inc(AVTX), our algorithm predicts AVTX's 1-month price at $8.21, with an 62.86%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.71%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a 62.86% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with TISI.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.71%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
AVTX
Future prediction
Up: 62.86%
TISI
Up: 62.86%Similarity: 98.71%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
TISI.N
98.71%
+62.86%
NRDS.O
98.66%
-6.37%
HURC.O
98.60%
-0.87%
IPWR.O
98.59%
+30.77%
MKTX.O
98.51%
-2.95%
QURE.O
98.48%
+3.65%
DMRC.O
98.43%
+4.69%
PEGA.O
98.43%
+6.23%
REX.N
98.41%
+10.38%
IESC.O
98.40%
-3.90%
AVTX Seasonality Analysis
Based on AVTX's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is30.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in AVTX. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at66.67%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while March has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Avalo Therapeutics Inc. (AVTX)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AVTX has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while March has the lowest probability (30.00%).
How has Avalo Therapeutics Inc. (AVTX)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
AVTX's stock price fell by -99.24% in 2023,decreased by -14.70% in 2024, and went down by 51.84% in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of AVTX include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, MACD_12_26_9 < 0, close < fibonacci_S1.
Is AVTX a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
AVTX has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for AVTX is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of AVTX.
What is the trend of Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX)'s moving average?
Avalo Therapeutics Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of May 11 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal.
What is price prediction for AVTX stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Avalo Therapeutics Inc (AVTX.O) stock, as of May 04 2025, forecasts a 62.86% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with TISI stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.71%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.