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AR Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Antero Resources Corp(AR) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Antero Resources Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-29After Hours0.290.10-65.521.18B1.21B+2.89-5.03+4.14
FY2025Q22025-07-30After Hours0.440.35-20.451.24B1.30B+4.48+3.28-1.54
FY2025Q12025-04-30After Hours0.830.78-6.021.40B1.35B-3.18-0.52+1.92
FY2024Q42025-02-12After Hours0.260.54+107.691.17B1.17B+0.03+1.96+0.33
FY2024Q32024-10-30After Hours-0.09-0.16-77.781.03B1.06B+2.77-8.29+1.52
FY2024Q22024-07-31--0.20-0.24-20.00970.10M978.65M+0.88--12.68
FY2024Q12024-04-24-0.000.03-1.06B1.12B+5.87+1.35+9.64
FY2023Q42024-02-14-0.180.22+22.221.15B1.19B+3.55+1.00+22.05
FY2023Q32023-10-25--0.020.08+500.001.05B1.13B+7.47+0.32+5.03
FY2023Q22023-07-26--0.29-0.32-10.34937.00M953.31M+1.74+0.20+10.78
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AR Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Antero Resources Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 0.10, compared to analyst estimates of 0.29 by -65.52% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.21B compared to expectations of 1.18B by 2.89% .
The stock price reacted with a -5.03% one-day change and a 4.14% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Antero Resources Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

AR Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Antero Resources Corp(AR) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.35B and an EPS of 0.48.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -6.49%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -30.74%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -13.22% . These revisions correlate with a 12.20% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Antero Resources Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between AR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-6.49%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-30.74%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-13.22%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+12.20%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.14B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.78
—
Stock Price36.60
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Financial AI Agent

AR Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Antero Resources Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,After Hours):
EPS: 0.10 (Actual) vs.0.29 (Estimate) (-65.52%)
Revenue: 1.21B (Actual) vs. 1.18B (Estimate) (2.89%)
Price Reaction: -5.03%(1-Day), 4.14%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-30,After Hours):
EPS: 0.35 (Actual) vs.0.44 (Estimate) (-20.45%)
Revenue: 1.30B (Actual) vs. 1.24B (Estimate) (4.48%)
Price Reaction: 3.28%(1-Day), -1.54%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: 0.78 (Actual) vs.0.83 (Estimate) (-6.02%)
Revenue: 1.35B (Actual) vs. 1.40B (Estimate) (-3.18%)
Price Reaction: -0.52%(1-Day), 1.92%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AR sees a -0.61% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.82% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.07%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -5.03% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 8.98% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Antero Resources Corp (AR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-30
The earnings call summary and Q&A session indicate strong financial metrics, improved production guidance, and strategic positioning in key markets. Despite no dividend plan, the focus on share repurchases and potential asset sales for debt repayment suggest shareholder value creation. Optimistic guidance, particularly in NGL pricing recovery and LNG demand growth, further supports a positive sentiment. The lack of material cash taxes through 2027 and robust hedging strategy add financial stability. Overall, the company's strategic growth and operational efficiency point towards a positive stock price movement.
Antero Resources Corp (AR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-31
The earnings call presents strong financial metrics, including significant debt reduction, increased free cash flow, and efficient capital management. The Q&A reveals management's strategic approach to balancing debt reduction and share buybacks, with an optimistic outlook on maintenance CapEx and hedging strategies. The positive guidance on natural gas demand and strategic positioning in the Appalachian region further support a positive sentiment. While management avoided specifics on certain projects, the overall sentiment remains positive, with a focus on shareholder returns and strategic growth.
Antero Resources Corp (AR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, including significant debt reduction and a robust share repurchase program. The company's efficient capital management and low breakeven price are positive indicators. Although there are some uncertainties in regulatory issues and supply chain challenges, the overall tone is optimistic. The Q&A section did not reveal significant negative sentiment, and analysts seemed generally satisfied with management's responses. The combination of strong financial metrics, a solid shareholder return strategy, and the absence of major negative factors suggests a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Antero Resources Corp (AR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with debt reduction, efficient capital management, and high processing capacity utilization. The shareholder return plan is flexible, balancing between buybacks and debt reduction. The Q&A section showed bullish sentiment on hedging and confidence in buybacks, though some responses lacked clarity on pricing dynamics and M&A conditions. Overall, the combination of low debt, high demand, and capital efficiency suggests a positive stock price reaction, despite some vague management responses.
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-31
The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment. Positives include strong operational efficiencies, record low well costs, and a significant increase in free cash flow due to higher NGL prices. However, concerns include competitive pressures, regulatory and supply chain challenges, and low natural gas prices impacting revenue. The lack of a clear shareholder return plan and unclear responses in the Q&A add uncertainty. Despite optimistic guidance, the absence of immediate catalysts and deferred production completions suggest a neutral stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-01
The earnings call highlights strong operational efficiency and financial health, with a reduced breakeven level and increased free cash flow. However, concerns about competitive pressures, regulatory issues, and supply chain challenges temper the positive outlook. The lack of a share buyback program and unclear management responses in the Q&A add uncertainty. Overall, mixed signals from strong financial metrics and external risks suggest a neutral stock price movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of AR’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

AR reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 1.21B against an estimate of 1.18B, resulting in a 2.89% surprise. The EPS was 0.1, surpassing the expected 0.29 by -65.52% . The stock experienced a -5.03% price change on the earnings day and a 4.14% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did AR’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following AR’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -5.03% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.14% change. Historically, AR’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.61% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +5.82% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AR for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AR’s annual revenue to reach 1.35B, while the EPS is projected at 0.48. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -6.49% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -13.22% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does AR’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between AR’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -6.49%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -13.22% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from AR’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, AR’s stock price typically moves by -0.61% in the 10 days before its earnings and +5.82% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.48 and revenue of 1.35B.
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What is the sentiment in Antero Resources Corp (AR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A session indicate strong financial metrics, improved production guidance, and strategic positioning in key markets. Despite no dividend plan, the focus on share repurchases and potential asset sales for debt repayment suggest shareholder value creation. Optimistic guidance, particularly in NGL pricing recovery and LNG demand growth, further supports a positive sentiment. The lack of material cash taxes through 2027 and robust hedging strategy add financial stability. Overall, the company's strategic growth and operational efficiency point towards a positive stock price movement.
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