AAMI Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how AAMI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AAMI sees a +1.83% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.02% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +4.35%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
AAMI Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
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AAMI Earnings Analysis
Acadian Asset Management Inc. Corporation (AAMI.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Record ENI EPS Growth: Acadian Asset Management reported a record ENI EPS of $1.30 for Q4 2024, a 69% increase from $0.77 in Q4 2023, driven by a 50% growth in ENI to $49 million.
Q4 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 reached $73 million, reflecting a 41% increase compared to Q4 2023, supported by higher AUM from market appreciation and investment returns.
Record ENI EPS Growth: For the full year 2024, Acadian achieved a record ENI EPS of $2.76, a 55% increase from 2023, bolstered by accretive share repurchases.
Positive Annual Net Cash Flow: Net client cash flows for Q4 2024 were positive at $900 million, contributing to total positive net cash flows of $1.8 billion for the year, marking the first positive annual net flow since 2019.
Strategy Performance Excellence: Acadian's strategies demonstrated strong performance, with over 90% of strategies by revenue outperforming their respective benchmarks over three, five, and ten-year periods, generating annualized excess returns of approximately 4% over the last five years.
Negative
Positive Annual Net Cash Flow: Net client cash flows for Q4 2024 were positive by only $900 million, indicating a slowdown compared to previous quarters, despite achieving a total of $1.8 billion in positive net cash flows for the year, which is the first positive annual net flow since 2019.
Record EPS Amid Market Challenges: Despite a record ENI EPS of $1.30 for Q4 2024, the company faced challenges with overall market conditions, as many equity markets lost value during the quarter, which could impact future performance.
Debt Ratios and Risks: The company reported a debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.5 times and a net leverage ratio of 1 times as of December 31, 2024, indicating a reliance on debt that may pose risks in a rising interest rate environment.
Sustainability of Share Buybacks: Acadian's share buybacks, while reducing outstanding diluted shares by 56% since Q4 2019, may not be sustainable if cash flows do not continue to support such aggressive capital return strategies in the future.
Long-Term Debt Management: The company’s long-term debt stood at approximately $274 million, which could limit financial flexibility and growth opportunities if not managed carefully, especially in a volatile market.
AAMI FAQs
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AAMI Earning Call Sentiment
Acadian Asset Management (NYSE:AAMI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
AAMI.N
0.52%Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with record EPS growth, positive net client cash flows, and a significant reduction in outstanding shares due to buybacks. The Q&A highlights robust strategy-driven net flows and a strong pipeline. Although there are risks such as market conditions and regulatory pressures, the company's financial health and shareholder return plans are solid. The optimistic guidance and continued share buybacks further support a positive sentiment. Despite some uncertainties, the overall outlook is positive, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
