News

Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's January Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew by 24% year-on-year to MOP22.6 billion, reaching 91% of the 2019 level, driven by a healthy increase in mainland Chinese visitors.
Impact of Events on Gaming Demand: Goldman Sachs believes that the upcoming Winter Olympic Games will not significantly affect gaming demand, while the World Cup may impact monthly revenue by no more than 5%.
SANDS CHINA LTD Financials: Despite reporting lower-than-expected EBITDA in 4Q25 due to one-off expenses and a shift towards lower-margin segments, Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on SANDS CHINA LTD.
Outlook for Other Companies: Goldman Sachs anticipates solid 4Q25 results for GALAXY ENT and MGM CHINA, with expected EBITDA increases of 28% and 8% quarter-on-quarter, respectively, and reiterates Buy ratings for these stocks.

Macau's GGR Performance: In January 2026, Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) increased by 24% year-on-year and 8% month-on-month, reaching MOP22.6 billion, surpassing market expectations according to Morgan Stanley.
February Growth Expectations: The upcoming Lunar New Year holiday is anticipated to boost February's GGR, with a projected year-on-year growth of 22%.
1Q26 GGR Forecast: Morgan Stanley predicts an 18% year-on-year increase in Macau's GGR for the first quarter of 2026, benefiting from a low base in early 2025.
Stock Recommendations: The broker favors stocks such as Galaxy Entertainment, Sands China, and Melco Resorts, all rated Overweight, while MGM China is rated Neutral and SJM Holdings is rated Underweight.

Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's January Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) reached MOP22.633 billion, reflecting a 24% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by about 5%.
Stock Market Reactions: Major gaming companies like Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment saw their stock prices rise, with Sands China up 4.58% and Galaxy Entertainment up 0.95%, despite initial declines.
Market Forecasts: Analysts from Morgan Stanley and CLSA predict continued growth in Macau's GGR, with expectations of an 18% year-over-year increase in the first quarter and potential upside risks to annual growth forecasts.
Short Selling Data: The report includes short selling statistics for various companies, indicating varying levels of market confidence, with SJM Holdings showing a notably high short selling ratio of 29.649%.

Macau Casino Earnings Outlook: Goldman Sachs anticipates that Macau casino stocks will report a 4% QoQ and 13% YoY increase in EBITDA, despite concerns over rising expenses and competition, as investors focus on profit trends.
GALAXY ENT Projections: The report specifically forecasts GALAXY ENT's 4Q25 EBITDA to rise by 28% QoQ to USD550 million, driven by a higher VIP win rate, and maintains a Buy rating on GALAXY ENT, MGM CHINA, and SANDS CHINA LTD due to attractive valuations.

Macau Gaming Industry Forecast: Morgan Stanley has revised its 4Q25 forecast for Macau's gaming industry downward due to a shift towards high VIP business and rising operating expenses, predicting a slight decrease in profit margins.
EBITDA Growth Expectations: The average adjusted property EBITDA for 4Q25 is expected to grow by 4% quarter-over-quarter and 13% year-over-year, aligning with market consensus.
Stock Ratings and Performance: UBS favors GALAXY ENT and SANDS CHINA LTD, both rated Overweight, while MGM CHINA has been downgraded to Equalweight due to increased royalty fees, despite a potential recovery in market share.
Market Trends: MGM CHINA underperformed in December but may see some recovery in 4Q25, while SJM HOLDINGS is rated Underweight amid ongoing market challenges.
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